Smoking Hot Dogger

Selling:

http://imgur.com/a/eDoaQ

https://backpack.tf/item/3981238619

6 day unsold in scrap.tf for 17 keys 28 ref

http://imgur.com/a/FvgOV

4 days @ 20

14 days @ 23

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200745937#!/compare/1502409600/1502841600

Can’t tell how much the Scatter is worth, not using.

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076543530#!/compare/1502496000/1502668800

Sold for a Max (17.5) + ~2.5 keys sweets

13.t doesnt appear in the dogger’s history, but he appears in both the vivid in sale 1 and max + sweets, confirming both sales 1 and 2 as sales

17.5 + 2.5 = 20

X = 20

Sale 3 & 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009908618#!/compare/1502928000/1503014400

Quicksold for 16 + ref and immediately sold for 17 + ref

X = 16 & 17, qs.

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346453871#!/compare/1504051200/1504137600

Sold for 19 keys

X = 19

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258313468#!/compare/1498003200/1498089600

Added ~5.5 keys sweets for a DBD Peculiarity (21.5, indate)

21.5 - 5.5 = 16

X = 16

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1500768000/1500854400

Sold for a Blizzardy Jeep (16.5, indate) + Smoking Pug (~9)

16.5 + ~9 = 25.5

X = 25 (rounding down b/c sellers on Jeep and pug is not indate. Pug wont change with a mini)

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099500504#!/compare/1501632000/1501891200

Sold for an Aces Sensei (18, indate)

X = 18

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305029519#!/compare/1502150400/1502236800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29308890 - B/O of 17, up for 1 week before selling

Sold for a Neutron Norseman (22.5) + ~1 key sweets

X = 17

Sale 9:

https://marketplace.tf/items/614;5;u35

Sold for $44

44/2.05 = 21.4634146341

X = 21

Sales at:

16 x2, 1 qs

17 x2, 1 qs

18

19

20

21

25

Summary:

Calling 16 low based off the qs, but not 17 since it took 1 week for R+bi to sell at 17. 25 is a high outlier here.

Final Price: 17 - 21 keys