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~400 keys
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Unusual Your Worst Nightmare Green Black Hole
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This suggestion was closed by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Sale #1~3 goes to 13.t, I did not find these. I only found sale #4 and updated the suggestion.


Sale 1)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120768380#!/compare/1501977600/1502064000

sold for a mallard condor 80+12+2=94


Sale 2)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120768380#!/compare/1501804800/1501891200

sold for a mallard headsplitter 89


capped by b/o of 75

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29294935


Sale 3)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131084455#!/compare/1500163200/1500249600

sold for a burning hotrod 107.5-mem leak engi cap 20.5=87


Sale 4)

Sale at 111

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092173139#!/compare/1504310400/1504396800


Sulph Nightmare (63)+ SMG(33)+ 15 = 11


SMG Mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1503878400/1503964800

https://pasteboard.co/GIAWW5o.png

https://pasteboard.co/GIAX5Vk.png


111 keys.


75 seems like an outlier, updated to 87~111.

    I had a b/o of 85 keys. I don't have any screenshots though.

      round to 90-110?

      I dont understand why 75 is an outlier and not 111; 75 is far closer to the other sales. I thought the last suggestion was high already; I've been offered this hat for below current a few times before.

      The following will support my stance:


      Sold + gfetti beak and some keys for ghosts beak

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092173139#!/compare/1503273600/1503619200

      Much lower


      Pfetti belt (~28) + 37 keys

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197287330#!/compare/1503360000/1503446400

      ~65


      49 pure

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29324142

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346618954#!/compare/1503273600/1503360000

      took about 10 days


      sale before is scrap


      On the sales listed:

      The condor is probably high at current:

      Sulph trilby + some sweets (probably low)

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183813937#!/compare/1502409600/1502496000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120768380#!/compare/1502409600/1502496000


      Sold with some pure for those two taunts

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198266400501#!/compare/1500854400/1500940800

      the unpriced one has a suggestion around 30 and that other one is outdated at 50 (and is probably high); thats ~75 at best


      ooze toque (~32) + aussie fj (~9) + 21 keys

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159546315#!/compare/1500768000/1500854400

      ~62


      All sales from the last suggestion are outdated; that sale is probably more than 10 keys lower

      That hotrod is probably high as well; has marketplace sellers well below 100. Id honestly even be iffy on including that as high end, though I guess it can be done.


      Sales at:

      49

      65

      75

      ~85

      87

      111


      Im not against excluding 49 as well; making the range here 65-85 rounded, keeping things conservative. In the comments it is also alluded that the 111 sale had a BO of 85, supporting 111 is too high.

        closing on account of the comment Ive left.