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Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340633910#!/compare/1503273600/1503360000
Axe sell for around 115 on the steam market.
115 ÷ 3.50 = 33
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340633910#!/compare/1503360000/1503446400
Mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063869295#!/compare/1503532800/1503619200
29 keys
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094744576#!/compare/1503100800/1503187200
35 keys
Not sure about these
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301332732#!/compare/1499040000/1499126400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301332732#!/compare/1502409600/1502496000
Maybe trade amongst friends
another sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071656977#!/compare/1503964800/1504310400
might want to consider this too
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Unusual%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Horseless%20Headless%20Horsemann%27s%20Headtaker - the axe sold for 44~ keys yesterday
True but most of the recent sales are more around 30 plus, this is the only 40 plus within three months.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094744576#!/compare/1503619200/1503878400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119164169#!/compare/1503792000/1503878400 - sold for duped Burning Flames Magistrate's Mullet + 1 key = most likely more than 33 as well
But the unusual has a clean seller at 38 keys which has been for 3 months, and many other selling for less.
that just means it's going to be less than 38, doesn't mean it's less than 33 though
sod for 40 pure
https://i.imgur.com/up6xHuK.png