Suggestion: Molten Mallard Brown Bomber at 95–120 keys

Price Suggestion

~90 keys

mallard

72 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 13 Oct 17 19:59:34 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072439676#!/compare/1502928000/1503100800

Histories don't match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072439676#!/compare/1502496000/1502582400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050062763#!/compare/1502496000/1502582400

DBD Luchadore (3 days seller @33, old seller @37: http://screenshot.sh/n9L1lITMJCxvh . Taking avg = 35 keys) + Aussie Scatter (23) + Abduction Translator (just updated @35) = 93 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147318341#!/compare/1502409600/1502496000

With Cockwain's Pith Helmet (12.5) for Eldritch Pullover (105) = 92.5 rounding to 93

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147318341#!/compare/1502323200/1502409600

Used on Flamenco

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111137125#!/compare/1498608000/1498694400

https://gyazo.com/65366165d91ceaa30483ddd4d1155f79

Ghosts Field Practice (68) + K-a-W Chullo (67) + Swirl Disco Fever + 14 pure = A lot

http://screenshot.sh/mLhsZq4mrfh41 - capped @b/o of 120

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111137125#!/compare/1498953600/1499644800

Better use on Belgian

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119481698#!/compare/1500508800/1500595200

With 8 keys for Aussie Minigun + 2 unusuals = low, around 70 keys

Summary:

Sales @93, 93, 120

Rounding 93 and taking 95-120

70 is low but 120 isn't high? They're both the same distance from the median, would be fairer to not include either :)

120 was a b/o cap tho

Idk, just 70 feels low

Yeah, and a B/O is a price they'd take instantly - the absolute maximum they'd EXPECT to get for it.

You can't just say something "feels low." That's not reasoning, that's just a baseless opinion. If 70 is low, 120 is high, unless you have more evidence than you have here.

If anything, that BO is an indication the sale is an outlier. People overpaying a lot on a buyout are overpaying out of convenience and are therefore typically a lot higher than what other traders would pay; that makes such sales an indication that the hats offered arent really worth their bp value in pure , or outliers by definition. Especially when there are so many lower data points, it is likely the latter.

If you're going to call 70 low, you should drop 120 from the range too and make this 93 flat (conveniently also around the average of all 4 sales)

Feel free to fix this. Closing for now