Price Suggestion
Showstopper Taunt: Conga
Submitted by Kazooey~
~21 keys
showstopper
Unusual Taunt: Conga Showstopper
77 votes up
6 votes down
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Comments

I literally can't keep up with this one. Though not having internet for almost 2 weeks didn't help


No usable recent sales.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/598f4162cf6c752b6d7ca8c2

Unsolds at 250, 230, 180 for ages.


https://imgur.com/VIVzhjM

Unsold for almost two weeks at 160.


This needs a quick, sharp drop. It being priced at 370 is only damaging it.

Let it ride.

    Don't think you linked the right suggestion

      Oh gross, 1 sec

      Well 2 weeks isn't long enough, plus there was a sale for over 300 recently as seen on previous suggestion

        Two weeks is long enough when it was unsold for ages at 250 for ages before-hand. And 230. And 180. As I stated.

        That sale should be used to update the other conga. As I also stated :P

          Screaming tiger conga has qbuyers for over 100 keys I believe so that wouldn't really work

            Then it's just an outlier, based on sellers. Unfortunately. This thing can't possibly be worth 300 if it can't sell for half of that in two weeks.

          Thanks for the update, let's break this information down.


          The infernal flames conga has a young seller at 80 and two approaching a week old at 100.

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114803126#!/compare/1505260800/1505347200

          Sold for either 100 or ~80 pure.

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076779151#!/compare/1504569600/1504828800

          Sold for Beams Robogrimm (67.5 but heavily unsold at 60) + Pro KS Aussie Medigun (~37)

          also equals around 100, so ~80-100 is a workable value for that conga.


          The carlton has an open suggestion at 57.5

          Glengarry SOMEHOW is in-date, but has two sellers at ~13, one of which is nearly a week old, and an unsold at 14.5, so taking 13.

          And about 10 keys of sweets.

          90 + 57.5 + 13 + 10 = 170.5

          This would (barely, and wouldn't if overpay were still calculated, which I feel given the items in this case it probably should be) exceed the B/O of 160 keys, which has demonstrably been up for over two weeks.


          Thankyou for the update though, this suggestion is a little more solid now :)

            How does a 240 sale from the previous suggestion (yeah you missed 70 keys since there were adds) proves that it should become 160?

              Proof of adds would be appreciated. Either way the B/O in the sale above was 160, so at 160 it is capped.

                Literally what

                The sale that was shown in the screaming tiger conga suggestion :

                https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094220056#!/compare/1499385600/1499472000

                  Oh, you replied to a comment abut a different sale. Sorry bud, but I can't read minds haha


                  Look at the sellers, both current and historic. That sale is an outlier. Which I think scrolling back I already said :/

                    No, I mean, how you say that, quote "Thankyou for the update though, this suggestion is a little more solid now :)"? How does a screaming tiger being sold for 160 proves anything regarding a showstopper conga? So unless it proves that the 240 sale on the showstopper is valid it makes no sence.

                      Look at the histories, and look at the imgur link the main suggestion. It's a sale for a showstopper one, the infernal conga and stuff went to the Showstopper seller pictured in that imgur link. The buyer then, evidently, quickflipped that, maybe with adds and maybe without, for the Screaming Tiger one.


                      It makes sense if you actually follow the data correctly, but I appreciate it may be confusing, that link has changed its contents since I linked it.


                      EDIT: Here's seller-side of that sale, for clarity: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109727272#!/compare/1505174400/1505260800

                      The sale is as I described: For a Showstopper Conga. Which is why Blix linked it here.


                      SECOND EDIT: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1505260800/1505347200

                      And here's where the Tiger Conga came from. Will probably be used to update that conga, there's sellers at 200 on it.

          Still don't know if this needs to be closed or not

            Well unless more sales occur, it's valid right now. I can see this getting at least another week to be sure of that, as most big drops do.

            Showstopper Taunt: Conga


            Sale #1


            Bulk for a Burning Flames Galvanized Gibus.


            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990935886#!/compare/1505606400/1506211200

            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145448265#!/compare/1506124800/1506211200


            {Excluding}


            Sale #2


            Sale Untraceable.


            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359508000#!/compare/1503360000/1504396800

            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342136112#!/compare/1503619200/1503705600


            {Excluding}


            Sale #3


            Sale Untraceable. {Probably SCM}


            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342136112#!/compare/1503705600/1503792000

            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128577582#!/compare/1503100800/1503705600


            {Excluding}


            Sale #4


            Sold for an Infernal Flames Taunt: Conga, Showstopper Taunt: The Carlton, Terror-Watt Glengarry Bonnet, and ~7 key in sweets.


            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109727272#!/compare/1505174400/1505260800

            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033370726#!/compare/1505174400/1505347200


            Taking 185k


            Sale #5


            Sold for a Screaming Tiger Taunt: Conga.


            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033370726#!/compare/1505174400/1505347200

            https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197967159739#!/compare/1505260800/1505347200


            Taking 200k


            Final Price: 185k-200k


            Resuggest at 185-200 please :) I don’t think 12 days is enough for an unsold at this price, and seeing as we only have proof for 12 days here, not much else we can do with it ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

              This would be correct, if not for the fact that the unsold at 160 was the one in the sale at 185. This means that the sale will most definitely cap at 160 keys.

              Gent should resuggest at 160-200.

                Hold on, woah. 200 on the tiger conga is also coming from a single sale, and given that that now has a seller below 200, AND given there were unsolds hovering around 180 for a while on this, wouldn't it be better to price this at 160 flat, then use that sale there to price that conga at 160-200?

                  Actually yeah, good point. I was thinking that we could give this conga a bit more of a conservative drop when I commented, but looking at screaming tiger again it looks like [i]that's[(i] the one that's going to need the range.

                  Yeah this should be fine, i'm going to tell sin to resuggest the tiger conga.