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The Sale:
Sold for 16 keys
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206662424#!/compare/1501200000/1501286400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069860969#!/compare/1500422400/1501286400
Some of the keys were used to buy various cheaper items.
X = 16
Only sale I could find, believe it or not. Other sales were untraceable, or went to and from tf2mart bots.
Sellers:
17 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/O6xR2eR.png - re-listed from 20:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29356421
18 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/W1GMcAG.png (2x) re-listed frequently
https://backpack.tf/item/186138212 - ~1.5 months
https://backpack.tf/item/330339258 - ~1.5 months
Sales at:
16
Going with 16 flat.