Sale 1:

Sold for Aces High Employee of the Mmmph (16.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29329578 - B/O of 16

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122589898#!/compare/1502755200/1502841600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184879355#!/compare/1502841600/1502928000

X = 16 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Smoking Tsarboosh (Suggestion at 13) + 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29317152 - B/O of 15

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043847267#!/compare/1502755200/1502841600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122589898#!/compare/1502755200/1502841600

X = 15

Sale 3:

Sold for Purple Confetti Stainless Pot (Suggestion at 14)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124999895#!/compare/1503273600/1503532800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331092305#!/compare/1503446400/1503532800

X = 14

Sale 4:

Sold for Logo Rubber Glove (Suggestion at 15) + <0.5 keys in ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29371499 - B/O of 14

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346848116#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350044920#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

X = 14 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 13 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274139380#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346848116#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

X = 13

Sale 6:

Sold with <0.5 keys in ref for 13 keys in ~2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29343066 - B/O of 15

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198331092305#!/compare/1503619200/1503705600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311280906#!/compare/1503187200/1503705600

X = 13

Sale 7:

Sold for 13 keys in ~2 days

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048008254#!/compare/1499212800/1499299200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089882315#!/compare/1498867200/1499299200

X = 13

Sale 8:

Sold for 12 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29303952 - B/O of 16

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211885115#!/compare/1501718400/1502150400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044953275#!/compare/1502064000/1502150400

X = 12

Sale 9:

Sold for 12 keys?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29335353 - B/O of 16

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198184879355#!/compare/1503273600/1503360000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107219426#!/compare/1503187200/1503273600

X = 12?

Sale 10:

Sold, to a buy order, for 12 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107219426#!/compare/1503273600/1503446400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1503187200/1503273600

X = 12

Sale 11:

Sold for 12 keys in ~2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29248330 - B/O of 15

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241107714#!/compare/1498694400/1498780800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070630154#!/compare/1489190400/1498780800

X = 12

Sale 12:

Quicksold for 11 keys + 16 ref (<0.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29371830 - B/O of 12

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350044920#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274298283#!/compare/1505520000/1505606400

X = 11

Sale 13:

Bulk for Death at Dusk Slo-Poke

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253093948#!/compare/1503964800/1504051200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393102985#!/compare/1503964800/1504051200

Sale 14:

Sold with item(s) for cloud 9 Milkman

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271728456#!/compare/1498521600/1498608000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241107714#!/compare/1498521600/1498608000

Should be used on the Cloud 9 one.

Sale 15:

Bulk for Purple Energy Mountebank’s Masque

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185059557#!/compare/1502323200/1502409600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1502323200/1502409600

Smoking Tsarboosh:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59bfd544cf6c75427c303819

Purple Confetti Stainless Pot:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59bfdc51cf6c752f9e12c2e0

Circling TF Logo Rubber Glove:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59bfdf58cf6c752fa820f223

Sellers:

12 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/x5fp06Q.jpg

~12.8 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/prOBt9P.jpg - 8 days

13 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/BQRMFFz.png - 20 days re-listed

https://backpack.tf/item/1457260486 - ~1 month

16 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/NtZeVgY.png - 20 days

Sales at:

11

12 (4x)

13 (3x)

14 (2x)

15

16

Buyers at 11. Excluding 11.

Some of the sales at 12 and 13 may have quicksold, however, the current sellers and the amount of sales at 12-13 suggest that these prices shouldn’t be excluded.

16 seems kinda far away from the common selling point, and the item involved in the sale is pretty overpriced, and currently on scrap.tf for much cheaper. Excluding 16.

Going with 12-15.