Suggestion: Sunbeams Brain-Warming Wear at 22–27 keys

Price Suggestion

~16.5 keys

sunbeams

74 votes up

4 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 07 Nov 17 19:21:07 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Sunbeams Brain Warmer

This thing has alot of sales in the past couple of months, and quite a few untrackable ones. These are the sales I could find.

1) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036445124#!/compare/1506297600/1506384000 Sold with 15 keys pure for an Orbit fire Wrapped Hat, I checked all the key histories. (~22)

https://backpack.tf/item/4715277081

https://backpack.tf/item/5787801832

https://backpack.tf/item/5001017560

2) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163645769#!/compare/1506556800/1506643200 Sold for a Starstorm Norsemann (~21)

3) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131096606#!/compare/1506470400/1506643200 Sold for a Spelled Footprints Buds....like seriously? (Unuseable)

4) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1506297600/1506384000 Sold for maybe a Smoking Fro and Smoking Metal Slug + 3.5 keys sweets? I cant tell with these TF2Mart bots (Possible ~24.5)

5) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1506124800/1506211200 Bilk for Scorching BOA (Unuseable)

6) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1506556800/1506643200 Sold for 23.5~ pure (~23.5)

7) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039731024#!/compare/1505952000/1506038400 Sold for Overclocked Connoissuer (Useable to update Conn)

8) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118254940#!/compare/1504396800/1504483200 Sold for 25 in pure and Aussies (~25)

9) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1501372800/1501459200 Sold for 26 in pure, yeah I checked ALL those key histories... (~26)

10) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047573393#!/compare/1500940800/1501027200 Sold for Bliz Modest (Can be used to update Modest)

11) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070742341#!/compare/1502928000/1503187200 Sold for Ghost Fez (~26)

12) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070742341#!/compare/1501372800/1501718400 Sold for 45.80$ on SCM according to SCM history sales (~19, outlier, buyers are higher)

13) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995#!/compare/1506643200/1506729600 Sold for a Death by Disco Death Racer...Massive outlier (Unuseable)

14) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108035080#!/compare/1505347200/1505433600 Sold for 20 keys pure to a quickbuyer bot (Unuseable)

15) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207933564#!/compare/1503360000/1505433600 Sold with 1.5 keys in sweets for Orbit Planets Salty Dog (~25.5, or can be used to update Salty Dog)

16) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1503100800/1503187200 Sold for 27 pure (~27)

17) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971147670#!/compare/1506643200/1506729600 Sold for 22 pure (~22)

Thats all the trace-able sales I could locate.

Previous Classified Buyouts have been in the 23-24, hence why a whitebelt made this suggestion https://backpack.tf/suggestion/59c23777cf6c7579ae740a64 Though unable to procur a picture of the classifieds at the time.

Sales are: 21, 22, 22, 23.5, 24.5, 25, 25.5, 26, 26, 27

21 seems a tad to low with buyers and considering other pure sales, so going with a 22-27

If you think the range should be revised, or have additional sales to fix the range, just notify me so I can re-suggest.

I quicksold for 22 pure in about 4 hours a couple of days ago, I would wager that was probably low too... but given the way the market's moving it probably won't be low for long, this might be appropriate.

Assuming none of the 22 sales were quicksales and all these sales are correct, I personally would have gone 22-26, removing one high and low sale.

Not asking you to resuggest over 1 key, but just saying for future reference.

Nice work.

Well the 27 was a pure sale, and usually those are pretty solid, especially considering theres also a 26 pure sale. If it was 27 in unusuals Id have definately left it out.

Ah, that's a fair point. I would've just taken the more reoccurring numbers (even if pure sales) and used those, since 26 has a lot more sales thna the one pure sale at 27.

Either way, it works just fine.

Cheapest sunbeams hat of all time?

Only new traceable sale is this which is ~27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031968145#!/compare/1506988800/1509062400

the 23.5 sale is actually 21.5, presumably to a buy order (knowing the trading style of both traders involved in that trade)

With buyers at 22 I feel like 22 should be treated as low here especially seeing how fast it sold (the pure one; the other one is probably an indication that the wwh drop it recently received was slightly too steep), and would prefer a more conservative drop 25-27 here, with the sales as

21 (outlier

21.5 (to buyer)

22 (QS)

24.5 (presumed, I dont believe anything I see in those tf2mart compares)

25.5

Alright, re-suggesting then.