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Starstorm Slumber Plumber's Pipe
→ Sale 1: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260571632#!/compare/1508112000/1508198400
Sold for a Orbiting Planets Sergeant's Drill Hat (mini @12 keys)
↓
mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260571632#!/compare/1507507200/1508112000
Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Wing Mann (11) + 1 Key
→ Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130396428#!/compare/1507420800/1507680000
Sold for a Collector's Professional Killstreak Conniver's Kunai (9.53 Keys rounding to 10 Keys)
Any kind of help is appreciated ♥
I actually offered the dude a 15 key unusual for it lol yet he sells it for less ^^
Drill Hat from sale #1 is now in-date @12, so that value is solid. However, I don't think that Kunai can be valued at 10 keys. Lowest current seller is @ 6.5 - https://imgur.com/a/KQH07 - and SCM sales have varied from between 5 and 10 keys over the past couple months: http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Conniver%27s%20Kunai
I would just call that a low outlier.
Other sales:
1.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130396428#!/compare/1506729600/1506902400 - W/ 3 keys pure for PSurge Outdoorsman, Outdoorsman is in-date but with a B/O drop, so it should get a mini, mini @ 20 below, 20 - 3 = 17 BUT b/o was 16: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29366787 so it caps the sale @ 16
Outdoorsman mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1510531200/1510617600 - 18 pure + ~2 keys of sweets
2.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260571632#!/compare/1508457600/1508716800 - DP Festivizer (mini @ 13) & 1k sweets, 14 total
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29402676 - B/O was 14 as well
Festivizer mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260571632#!/compare/1509062400/1509148800 - Sold for Aces Buckaroos (micro @ 13)
Buckaroos micro: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152580447#!/compare/1510963200/1511049600 - ~12.5 pure, rounding to 13
3.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138818087#!/compare/1509926400/1510185600 - 10 pure
4.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286485732#!/compare/1509926400/1510185600 - Re-sold the same day for 11 pure
5.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124260072#!/compare/1510099200/1510185600 - Re-sold again, also same day, for C9 Tippler (mini below @13)
Tippler mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349886701#!/compare/1509321600/1509408000 - 13 pure
6.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029222171#!/compare/1510185600/1510272000 - Spectral Requiem, should for sure be used there
Everything after that appears to be gambling related.
Sales are: 10 (pure), 11 (pure, hours), 12, 13, 14, & 16. With 11 pure taking only hours after the previous sale to occur, I would consider 10 & 11 low here. Please re-suggest @ 12-16.
thank you :D