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4 years outdated, lets go bois!
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045258964#!/compare/1500940800/1501113600
Sold with ~60 Keys in other Unusuals for a Harvest Moon Swagman's Swatter (Indate @107 ) seems really low.
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046112507#!/compare/1501286400/1501372800
Sold with a Aussie Backscatter (10) for a Burning Flames Peacenik's Ponytail (mini @ 112.5 below)
112.5-10= 102.5 Keys
Because I love rounding we round to 100 Keys flat
Mini Ponytail:
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Peacenik's%20Ponytail/Tradable/Craftable/13
Couldnt find any useable sales (with what I have)
There are tho 2 Sellers for 110 and 115, for the moment I take that until I find a better sale.
Sale #3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070744464#!/compare/1503187200/1503273600
Sold for a Green Energy Tossle Cap (90)+ Aussie Bloodsauger (7) + ~73 Keys in Pure and Items
90+7+73= 170 Keys
Coudnt find any recent sales for it :/ Taking for now 90 Keys
Sale # 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070744464#!/compare/1503705600/1503792000
Sold with 1 Key for a Scorching Flames Furious Fukaamigasa (Indate @120)
120-1= 119 Keys
Rounding to 120
Sale #5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085116555#!/compare/1504224000/1504310400
Sold for a Disco Beat Down Troublemaker's Tossle Cap (Indate @ 57), a Purple Confetti Patriot Peak (Indate @ 49) and 11 Keys Pure.
57+49+11= 117 Keys
Rounding to 120 (yes it round to 115 but I want to go 120 flat)
Since I dont have a proper Mini for the Ponytail and the Green Energy Tosslecap, will we ignore those sales and take the two sales @120 and call the ~40 Key and ~170 Key sale outliers
The Fuka in your sale is duped and would need a mini.
Fuka mini: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070744464#!/compare/1504483200/1504569600 - KaW Crone + 6 pure, ~95
So 94 for that sale after the key is subtracted, which caps at the B/O of 90: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29342606
Additional sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175496874#!/compare/1503705600/1503792000 - Added 3 pure for PE Sergeant and Neutron Modest (Outdated, mature sellers for 56), ~105 total/should fit in range even with a better Modest mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071647163#!/compare/1506297600/1506384000 - 1:1 w/ Neutron Crone, outdated/could be used for Crone
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085116555#!/compare/1506211200/1506297600 - 1:3, all 3 need minis
Snaggle: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198379237846#!/compare/1505952000/1506124800 - 37 pure
Flamenco: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065409820#!/compare/1501977600/1502064000 - PE Shako + ~5 keys of sweets, ~44
Elf: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29374278 - Seller for 13
~94 total.
As for your other sales, sale #1 does indeed look low, couldn't get a mini on the Ponytail in sale #2, and sale #3 is a qs for pure - the Tossle wasn't added, and I'm not convinced all the keys were either.
Usable sales are 90, ~95, ~105 and 115 (rounded down from 117).
Go with 90-115 here.