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Copy pasted cause i just got it, creds to Lemons (in sugg), TheProcave (suggestor), Foamy for his comment
Hm, a drop it is huh?
Thanks to Lemons!
Sellers: - https://snag.gy/YEMhCl.jpg
https://backpack.tf/item/3089000694 - 30 Days @ 45 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/2282829400 - 27 Days @ 48 Keys
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995730514#!/compare/1505347200/1505433600
Sold for a Duped Vivid Plasma Towering Pillar of Hats 40k
B/O: Was 48 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29368619
Mini for Towering
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096719705#!/compare/1501372800/1501459200 = 40 Keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995730514#!/compare/1505260800/1505347200
Sold for a S. Spec KS Aussie Rocket Launcher (Sellers @33.5k, taking 34k)
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077264681#!/compare/1505088000/1505260800 - Cash/CSGO
(Other side traded too quickly)
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092381061#!/compare/1505606400/1505692800 - Best used there
B/O: N/A
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092381061#!/compare/1504569600/1504915200 - Using there
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076384179#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800
Sold for a Duped Searing Plasma Coupe D'isaster (11k) + A Duped Cloud 9 Noble Amassment of Hats (25k) + ~15 Keys in Sweets = 51k
B/O: Caps as B/O Was 48: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29390427
Mini for Coupe
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069200384#!/compare/1499817600/1499904000 = 11 Keys
Mini for Towering
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326246857#!/compare/1506297600/1506470400 = 34 Keys
B/O Was 25 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29379962
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127309887#!/compare/1503792000/1503878400 -
Sold for a Green Energy Furious Fukaamigasa 31k
B/O: N/A
Mini for Furious
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127309887#!/compare/1505520000/1505692800 = 31 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148532116#!/compare/1499817600/1499904000 = 30 Keys
Using 31 over 30 as 30 is sorta bulky
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127309887#!/compare/1502150400/1502236800 -
Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Patriot Peak (69k)
B/O: N/A
my new sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173442901#!/compare/1509321600/1509408000
Sold + taunt for Sulph Prince Tavish Crown, probably too bulky
B/O: was 61 on crown when not quickselling
Sales:
@31k
@34k
@40k
@48k
@69k
Bulk
Buyers Buy @ 31 so 31 is too low
69 is high compared to unsolds
34 was quicksold/dumped
Taking 40-48k
More sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087079827#!/compare/1510012800/1510099200 idk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153088409#!/compare/1510358400/1510444800 idk
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29421239 40 b/o
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045636445#!/compare/1510099200/1510358400
Sold for 35 keys
Quicksold just like the 34 key sale
Not sure if you can call 9 days a qs.
I think the suggested range here is still fine. 9 days may not be the conventional quicksale, but it was 5 keys below the buyout, so the "struggles to sell at X" argument does not work here.
In terms of data points, I would call 35 the low outlier to offset that 60+ sale, as both have an indication they're off in value; where 35 sold pretty fast and below the BO, and 69 sold above current and probably past sellers.