Jesus, wasn’t expecting such a drop

Sale 1:

Sold for Hellfire Bootleg Base Metal Billycock (Suggestion at 53.5)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1507248000/1507334400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167390699#!/compare/1507075200/1507334400

X = 54

Sale 2:

Sold for Puzzle Baarrrrnnggg n bicorne (Suggestion at 30.5)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964813411#!/compare/1506297600/1506384000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081642376#!/compare/1506211200/1506384000

X = 31

Sale 3:

Sold for 28 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29358037 - No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980218669#!/compare/1504915200/1505001600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127324484#!/compare/1504915200/1505001600

X = 28

Sale 4:

Sold for Bubbling Cotton Head (Mini at 23 below) + ~2 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164815309#!/compare/1503273600/1503705600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193861449#!/compare/1503619200/1503705600

X = 25

Bubbling Cotton Head Mini:

Sold for 23 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164815309#!/compare/1503792000/1503964800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271608259#!/compare/1503878400/1503964800

X = 23

Sellers:

40 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/rNivyBZ.jpg - 26 days

42 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/trtnaMp.png - 2 months

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29385701 - 1 month

https://i.imgur.com/uEYytKU.png

45 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/M4mOAsw.png - 2 months

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28561704 - 1 year

Sales at:

25

28

31

54

54 is a large outlier. Excluding 54.

Not comfortable with including 25. I’m pretty sure scrap.tf pays around that amount, and I’m not happy with the mini on the Cotton Head. Excluding 25.

Going with 28-31.