Sale 1:

Sold for Starstorm Insomnia L’Homme Burglerre (52.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29398882 - No visible B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1508025600/1508112000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975022305#!/compare/1508025600/1508112000

X = 53

Sales 2 & 3: (Duped)

Sold for $98.7 and $87 on Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/538;5;u33

https://backpack.tf/item/1638347628 - $87 one is duped

Couldn’t identify the $98.7 one.

98.7/1.97 = ~50.1

87/1.9 = ~45.8

X = 50

X = 46 (Duped)

Sale 4:

Sold for 40 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1509494400/1509580800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005875727#!/compare/1509494400/1509580800

X = 40

Sale 5: (Duped)

Sold for Tesla Coil Hot Doggerson (Suggestion at 29.5) + ~10 keys in pure/items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29227577 - B/O of 38

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793444#!/compare/1508112000/1508198400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167390699#!/compare/1508112000/1508198400

X = 38 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 6:

Sold for 38 keys (IDs match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135169042#!/compare/1508112000/1508198400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046791019#!/compare/1508112000/1508198400

X = 38

Sale 7: (Duped)

Sold for 37 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167390699#!/compare/1508803200/1508889600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040898430#!/compare/1508803200/1508889600

X = 37

Sale 8:

Sold for 36 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046791019#!/compare/1509408000/1509494400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135647291#!/compare/1509408000/1509494400

X = 36

Sale 9: (Duped)

Sold for 34 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040898430#!/compare/1509148800/1509235200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260039591#!/compare/1509235200/1509321600

X = 34

Sale 10:

Sold for Cloud 9 Horrific Headsplitter + Blizzardy Cosa + ~1 key in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29386440 - why is there a B/O for everything BUT THE OF KE AAAAAAA

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045366924#!/compare/1508457600/1508630400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207434165#!/compare/1508284800/1508630400

This’ll most likely be an outlier without a B/O cap.

Sale 11:

Bulk for Terror-Watt Killer Exclusive

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084093569#!/compare/1506988800/1507075200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1506988800/1507075200

Sale 12:

Bulk for Vivid Honcho’s

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975022305#!/compare/1508371200/1508716800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1508284800/1508371200

Tesla Coil Hot Doggerson:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a0d5c23cf6c7501303d77c6

Sellers:

43 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/Znw4IzA.png – 2 days

45 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/QzUvfyu.png - 3 days

50 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/CEY15el.png - 2 months

Sales at:

34 (dupe)

36

37 (dupe)

38 (2x, 1 dupe)

40

46 (dupe)

50

53

Can’t set a low end with a dupe here. 34’s countered by buyers anyways. Excluding 34.

2-month old seller at 50, doesn’t sell well for 50. Excluding 50 and 53. (Sale at 53 is realistically much less than that)

46 looks like an outlier here. Excluding 46.

Going with 36-40.