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One sale:
Sold for a Phosphorous Tree (50-55)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002492237#!/compare/1511395200/1511481600
Using the medium here
52.5 is the medium of the tree, using that
Round up to 53.
Edit: the buyer is selling for 50 atm so might need to do a range if it doesn't sell.
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:oH0It2zO2DsJ:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29397939+&cd=1&hl=nl&ct=clnk&gl=nl&client=safari
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29397939
B/O was 39 keys, so sale should be capped at that.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002492237#!/compare/1511481600/1511568000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1511481600/1511568000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198002492237 - nothing
Not 100% sure what this sale was exactly. What did you sell this for?
Either way, 39 keys is probably better here.
https://backpack.tf/item/2081501498 seems like this was moved back and forth, indicating they're either alts or friends. In any other case, the sale can't be used because it'd be bulk and/or a tradeback of sorts.
This should indeed be capped at the buyout if used.