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Sales 1, 2 & 3:
Sold for $41.08, $28.49 & $17 on Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/1119;5;u3015
Can’t identify the histories. $41.08 and $17 are definitely outliers. Excluding them.
28.49/1.98 = ~14.4
X = 14
Sale 4:
Sold for 12 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237#!/compare/1511222400/1511308800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358792130#!/compare/1511222400/1511308800
X = 12
Sale 5:
Bulk
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145956482#!/compare/1511308800/1511481600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979#!/compare/1511395200/1511481600
Sellers:
14 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/c8ySasG.png - 3 days
16 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/DWj8vDl.png - 4 days
17 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/U3l7w3h.png - 8 days
19 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/lPD5fV8.png - 2 months (2x)
https://i.imgur.com/ugznDPc.png - 17 days
Sales at:
12
14
Going with 12-14.