Sale 1:

Sold for Demonflame Tungsten Toque (Suggestion at 50)

No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1509753600/1509840000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095909405#!/compare/1509408000/1509840000

X = 50

Sale 12:

Sold for 32 keys (ID’s match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112279227#!/compare/1509753600/1509840000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291086183#!/compare/1509926400/1510358400 (backpack wasn’t registered during time of purchase)

X = 32

Sale 23:

Sold for 14 regular keys, 6 uncraftable green summer cooler keys (~6.6), 2 yellow uncraftable summer cooler keys (~2.2) and 8 uncraftable black summer cooler keys (~8.8)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123569966#!/compare/1511481600/1511654400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060028245#!/compare/1511481600/1511568000

The cooler keys, while priced at ~1.3 each, have sellers at ~1.1. Using 1.1.

X = 32

Sale 4:

Sold for Voltaic Hat Protector Phononaut (30.5) + 7 keys + ticket

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29356013 - B/O of 30

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106233311#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176908594#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800

X = 30 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 5:

Sold for 29 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084987698#!/compare/1508976000/1510531200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061445479#!/compare/1508025600/1509148800

X = 29

Sale 6:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Your Worst Nightmare (20.5) + ~7 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29425141 - B/O of 36

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099031088#!/compare/1509667200/1509753600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280359073#!/compare/1509667200/1509753600

X = 28

Sale 7:

Sold for 26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1508889600/1508976000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116448555#!/compare/1508889600/1508976000

X = 26

Sale 8:

Sold for Terror-Watt Detective Noir (Suggestion at 24) + Puffy Provocatuer (1)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280359073#!/compare/1509926400/1510012800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166982558#!/compare/1509926400/1510012800

X = 25

Sale 9:

Sold for 20 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051868990#!/compare/1506816000/1507420800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197287330#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800

X = 20

Sale 10:

Sold for Pro. KS Aussie Black Box (17)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344031951#!/compare/1507507200/1507593600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1507507200/1507593600

X = 17

Sale 11:

Sold for Steaming El Jefe + ~10 keys in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306865160#!/compare/1509580800/1509667200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099031088#!/compare/1509494400/1509580800

Given the current sellers on the Jefe, this’ll end up being around what quickbuyers are paying for this. Excluding this sale.

Sale 12:

Bulk for Green Confetti Hong Kong Cone

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176908594#!/compare/1507593600/1508025600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173027559#!/compare/1507939200/1508025600

Sale 13:

Sold for Duped Stormy Le Party Phantom

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064923424#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400

Probably better to use on the Phantom. It may be duped, but given the current sellers on the thing, it is likely to drop below 30 keys, so it should be fine to use on that instead.

Sale 14:

Bulk for Mystery Death Racer’s Helmet?

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995378859#!/compare/1508803200/1508889600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161748319#!/compare/1508371200/1508889600

Sale 15:

Sold for Purple Confetti Anger

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197287330#!/compare/1507420800/1507507200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344031951#!/compare/1507248000/1507507200

Can be used on the Anger.

Sale 16:

Sold with 2 keys for Vivid Cosa Nostra Cap

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095909405#!/compare/1509840000/1509926400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1509753600/1509840000

Should be used on the Cosa.

Sale 17:

Sold for Cloud 9 Ground Control

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177146885#!/compare/1509321600/1509753600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1509235200/1509321600

No usable sales on the Ground Control. Can be used on it instead.

Demonflame Tungsten Toque:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a0a7220cf6c75553e3539e9

Sellers:

35 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/56eAmxu.png - 4 days

36 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/htN4Ifl.jpg - 19 days

38 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/l0a0PQ6.jpg - young

https://i.imgur.com/hBSSz0q.png - 13 days

45 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/24hGpN2.png - 6 months

https://i.imgur.com/PS2tLkS.png - 3 months

60 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/COWR42W.png - 10 months

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28415030 - 1 year

Sales at:

17

20

25

26

28

29

30

32 (2x)

50

Buyer at ~24.5 counters anything below. Excluding 17 and 20.

50 is an obvious outlier. Excluding 50.

Given that buyer at 24.5, I feel that 25 is too low. However, the sale at 26, which is a pure sale, took about a month to sell, so I’ll keep that. https://i.imgur.com/mj0ttBq.png

Going with 26-32.