Sale 1:

Sold with 3 keys for Burning Football Helmet (Suggestion at 28.5) + Haunted Ghosts Buckaroo’s Hat (16.5)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1507248000/1507334400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154537737#!/compare/1507248000/1507334400

X = 42

Sale 2:

Sold for Smoking Whirly Warrior (Suggestion at 21.5) + Smoking Das Gutenkutteharen (Mini at 18 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29377241 - B/O of 40

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993057065#!/compare/1506124800/1506211200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389388621#!/compare/1506124800/1506211200

X = 40

Sale 3:

Sold for Green Confetti Hong Kong Cone + ~1 key in items

Seller doesn’t list B/O’s on outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1508889600/1508976000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219252313#!/compare/1508976000/1509148800

Not using without a B/O cap, would be a likely outlier here.

Sale 4:

Sold for some unusual knife

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389388621#!/compare/1506902400/1506988800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167390699#!/compare/1506902400/1506988800

Sale 5:

Bulk for Hellfire Bootleg Base Metal Billycock

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167390699#!/compare/1506988800/1507075200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1506988800/1507075200

Sale 6:

Sold for Aces KE

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154537737#!/compare/1507939200/1508025600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1507939200/1508025600

Was used on the KE.

Smoking Das Gutenkutteharen:

No usable sales, using sellers.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29468748 - 18 keys

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Das%20Gutenkutteharen?filter=smoking – 2 sellers at ~18 keys on the SCM

Taking 18.

I spent hours working on updating the Whirly, I’m gonna be pissed if I have to exclude that sale due to no mini on the Guten.

Burning Football Helmet:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a2cbccd44325a6df571233f

Sellers:

40 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/HiQu9JX.png - 2 months

Sales at:

40

42

Gonna exclude 42, due to the 2-month old seller at 40.

Going with 40 flat.

Foamy has observed that the Burning Futbol Helmet would be better valued at 30.5, bringing that sale to 44 and making it look more outlier-ish.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a2cbccd44325a6df571233f#comment-5a2d293144325a79253b3205