Sale 1:

Sold for 38 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057671085#!/compare/1511913600/1512086400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254165940#!/compare/1511913600/1512086400

X = 38

Sale 2:

Sold for Green Black Hole Grenadier’s Softcap (34.5) + ~10 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29433287 - B/O of 35

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128276213#!/compare/1510185600/1510272000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273615595#!/compare/1509753600/1510272000

X = 35 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for Cool Well Worn Anodized Aloha War Paint

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048792033#!/compare/1510790400/1510876800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385727483#!/compare/1510790400/1510876800

Only mini I could find on the War Paint was for two frostbite hats:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122201250#!/compare/1501632000/1510790400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385727483#!/compare/1510617600/1510790400

This would end up being at least 45. Given the current sellers on the Prancer’s Pride, this would be way too high.

Sale 4:

Sold for Miami Nights Texas Ten Gallon

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273615595#!/compare/1511049600/1511481600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057671085#!/compare/1511049600/1511481600

Can be used on the Ten Gallon.

Sellers:

~36.9 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/ATzGTbL.png - 1 day

37 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/uawNcYH.png - 8 days (Duped

Sales at:

35

38

Going with 35-38.