Sale 1:

Sold for Steaming Stout Shako (12) + ~9 keys in Strange Pro. KS items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29385569 - No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030385019#!/compare/1507420800/1507939200

X = 21

Sale 2:

Sold for Smoking Tyrant’s Helm + 1 key

Almost certain that my B/O was 16 keys.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1506902400/1506988800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113982735#!/compare/1506902400/1507075200

Tyrant has a buyer at 15. This will easily cap.

X = 16 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123441069#!/compare/1512000000/1512086400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273615595#!/compare/1511654400/1512086400

X = 14

Sale 4:

Sold for Purple Confetti Glengarry Bonnet (Suggestion at 12.5) + 1 key

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965#!/compare/1510012800/1510099200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049393047#!/compare/1510012800/1510099200

X = 14

Sale 5:

Sold for Miami Nights Conquistador + 5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29440037 - B/O of 16

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1510704000/1510790400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138862697#!/compare/1510531200/1510790400

Should easily cap at the B/O, or at least fall into the range.

Sale 6:

Sold for Skill Gotten Gains Party Trick + ~0.5 cosmetic

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359269477#!/compare/1511740800/1511827200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157228676#!/compare/1511654400/1511740800

Should be used on the taunt.

Sale 7:

Bulk for Roboactive Tyrantium Helmet

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157228676#!/compare/1511740800/1511827200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197828049#!/compare/1511740800/1511827200

Sale 8:

Sold for Blizzardy Storm Otolaryngologist’s Mirror + ~2.5 keys in items

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163333566#!/compare/1512345600/1512518400

B/O would’ve been much lower, knowing the seller. Don’t want to use without knowing the B/O. Excluding this sale.

Sale 9:

Sold for at least 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036543680#!/compare/1510704000/1511136000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255032737#!/compare/1511049600/1511136000

I’m convinced that some of the items on the buyer’s end sold to bots, then went towards paying for the pith helm. Can’t confirm this, so I’ll exclude this sale.

Sale 10:

Bulk for Ether BAAAAAAAARRNGG Bicorne

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202168173#!/compare/1507852800/1507939200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965#!/compare/1507593600/1507939200

Purple Confetti Glengarry:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a2cf11acf6c752d52042f8c

Sellers:

15 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/l0X19ow.png - 17 days

16 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/N5uJgGh.png - 12 days

Sales at:

14 (2x)

16

21

Going with 14-16.