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Miami Nights Tungsten Toque
New price: 11-12 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1510272000/1510358400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29474999
Sold for 12 keys.
SALE #2 = 11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053019272#!/compare/1508976000/1509926400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198053019272 - no B/O
Sold for a Bubbling Fruit Shoot (11, according to the open suggestion)
SALE #3 = 11 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/30049;5;u61
Sold for $22 ( / $1,97 ) = 11 keys.
SUMMARY
Sales: 11 / 11 / 12 keys
Sellers: 12 keys
https://i.imgur.com/srYo4ao.png
Going with 11-12 keys.
-There's actually another mp.tf sale that occurred mid-September that is admittedly a bit old, but supports your range nonetheless.