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Anti-freeze Killer Exclusive
Credits to Foamy the Fearsome
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29326233 - B/O was 950 keys - didn't sell for like 2 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29391183 - he dropped the B/O to 640 keys - sold in 1 days
Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1510012800/1510099200 - buyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197338561#!/compare/1510012800/1510099200 - seller
Sold for an I.A.S.T.E Soldier's Stash ( 350 keys ) + AF Merc's Mohawk ( 450 keys ) + D.B.D Conjurer's Cowl ( 34 keys ) = 834 keys ~ 830 keys
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068789249#!/compare/1507334400/1507420800
Sold for a duped Vintage CS Pro KS Lugermorph ( 206 keys ) + 76 keys in items + PC Executioner ( 40 keys ) + 263 keys pure = 585 keys ~ 585 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/160;3;u4;kt-3/Professional%20Community%20Sparkle%20Vintage%20Lugermorph
duped Vintage CS Pro KS Lugermorph sold for 400 dollars
400/1.94 = 206.18 ~ 206
Using the sale at 400, instead of the others, because of the seller at 400 dollars.
This sale is excluded, as it is an outlier.
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1508371200/1508457600
Sold together with a Scorching Flames Lucky shot ( 177.5 keys ) for a SF Soldier's Stash ( 420 keys ) + Hellfire Rotation Sensation ( 230 keys ) + Knifestorm Defiant Spartan ( 85 keys ) + duped Stormy 13th Hour Salty Dog ( 225 keys ) + 15 keys pure = 975 keys - 177.5 = 797.5 ~ 800 keys
Minis for the unusuals
Rotation Sensation
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1512259200/1512432000
Sold for 230 keys
Spartan
No recent sale
Lucky Shot
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a33f420cf6c7544ce35e1e5
duped Salty Dog
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044019620#!/compare/1506124800/1506297600 - no possible mini on the scrap
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1508371200/1508457600 - with aussie rocket for CV HWNN (~265, open suggestion)
Other sales are bulk or untraceable (or no sales at all but just the duped item history)
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a33f995cf6c7536437c96ba - CV HWNN
265 - 40 ( the price of the aussie ) = 225 keys
Without rounding the CV HWNN is 266 keys, and the aussie is 43 keys = 266 - 43 = 223 ~ 225 keys
~ 225 keys
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1511913600/1512086400
Quicksold for 550 keys pure
this sale is excluded as it is an outlier
Conclusion
1 sold for 830 keys in unusuals
1 sold for 585 keys in mixed - excluded
1 sold for 800 keys in unusuals
1 quicksold for 550 keys - excluded
Price range: 800 - 830 keys
Any proof/counter proof is always welcome!
Another sale: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847#!/compare/1513814400/1513987200
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847#!/compare/1513814400/1513987200
Sold for Blizzardy Storm Exquisite Rack ( 72.5 keys ) + PE B.O.A ( 470 keys ) + Poisoned Shadows B.F.O.B ( 180 keys ) + Ghastly Ghost Jr Aviator ( 97 keys ) + 124 keys pure = 943.5 keys ~ 945 keys
Minis for the unusuals
Racks
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097323516#!/compare/1509840000/1509926400 - seller
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008113369#!/compare/1509840000/1509926400 - buyer
Sold for a C9 Hong Kong Cone = 72.5 keys
B.O.A
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000
Sold for PE Cotton Head ( 220 keys ) + GE Beak ( 145 keys ) + 105 keys pure = 470 keys
Brim-Full
No recent sales, as it is a 1 of 1, which pretty short history.
Aviator
This is 1 of 1, but only have been traded the past 6 months, but it has a short history as well, with no recent sales.
This sale is excluded as it is an outlier, and some minis missing.
Hopefully, this concludes it.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1515542400/1515628800 spartan resold, but the sale isn't usable. The rotation seems to have a couple of other sales and it has an open suggestion atm. However, sellers on the rotation (especially at the time of the KE sale) indicate the high end there will be high and I disagree with that being updated as it is being done (it should wait for more sales). Since the buyer here was the one that resold for 230, valuing it here as such is fine.
The sale mentioned in the comment section would be slightly higher, but seeing as we also have ruled out 2 low outliers, I think that balances it out. 2 of the involved hats have only been dumped in bulksales, so the sale would realisticly be slightly lower.