Once upon a time not long ago

When people wore Adidas and lived life slow.

Children's Story

Counter. Most of the credit go to Hugh Mungus and Foamy.

Sale #1

Pure bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216561389#!/compare/1510444800/1510531200

Sale #2

Sold for:

Spellbound Tartan Spartan (107.5, in-date at the time)

Green Energy Blast Defense (60)

10 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191864918#!/compare/1511222400/1511308800

107.5 + 60 + 10 = 177.5 keys -> 178 keys

GE Blast Defense

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a15f86644325a7ccd355a3d

"blast defense has a couple of lower sellers. Only nonbulk sale I found on that was this:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1511395200/1511481600

So I guess thatll be close enough"

"I'd use blast defense sellers as mini, making that sale round down to 180"

Lowest seller I could find was 60 keys. Poorly bumped, but it's about 3 months old.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29369902

Sale #3

Sold for:

Circling Heart Backwards Ballcap (122.5, mini below)

Phosphorous Industrial Festivizer (30, mini below)

8 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191864918#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066887095#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200

122.5 + 30 + 8 = 160.5 keys -> 161 keys

C. Heart Ballcap mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a38798c44325a76cf3ba968

=122.5 keys

Phosphorous Festiziver mini

Sold for a Ghastly Ghosts Taunt: Results Are In (30, micro below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29378578

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066887095#!/compare/1511049600/1511222400

=30 keys

GG Results micro

What the hell happened to taunts?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29467863

=30 keys

Sale #4

Sold for:

Green Energy Deep Cover Operator (102, mini below)

Circling TF Logo Hot Dogger (31.5, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29453233

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066887095#!/compare/1511740800/1511827200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203537236#!/compare/1511740800/1511827200

102 + 31.5 = 133.5 keys -> 134 keys

GE DCO mini

Sold for a Sunbeams Towering Pillar of Hats (100, mini below) + 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179201573#!/compare/1510272000/1510358400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232122560#!/compare/1510185600/1510272000

100 + 2 = 102 keys

Beams Pillar micro

Sold for

Starstorm Slumber Brown Bomber (87)

Energy Orb Professional Killstreak Aqua Marine Rocket Launcher (Minimal Wear) (57)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398123672#!/compare/1510704000/1510790400

81 + 57 = 138 keys

https://i.imgur.com/BrUQgkk.png

Multiple sellers ranging from 100-130 keys on the Classifieds, two of which have been unsold for over 2 months

Going with the lowest valid seller (100 keys)

TF Logo Dogger mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a3a935444325a76bf7902fe

=31.5 keys

Sale #5

Bulk sale for a Death at Dusk Team Captain

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050494196#!/compare/1511913600/1512777600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203537236#!/compare/1512604800/1512777600

Conclusion:

Sales at 134, 161 and 178 keys. The 134 key sale looks like an outlier, so it won't be in the range. Rounding each end to the nearest tenth, taking 160 to 180 keys as the new price.

Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ