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TEAM 4 EVENT
Orbiting Fire Nanobalaclava
New price: 11 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198108397#!/compare/1514246400/1514332800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198166402720 - no B/O
Sold for a Steaming Barnstormer (12).
SALE #2 = 11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198240946208#!/compare/1513814400/1513987200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166402720#!/compare/1513900800/1513987200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198240946208 - no B/O
Sold along 1 key in items for a Midnight Whirldwind Taunt: Deep Fried Desire (12) = 11 keys.
SALE #3 = 11 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199159737#!/compare/1511827200/1511913600
Sold for a Kill-a-Watt Rimmed Raincatcher (open sugg 11). Both suggestions (nano/raincatcher) have a sale at 11 keys, so it probably wouldn’t matter where I’d use this sale.
SUMMARY
Sales: 11 / 11 keys
Sellers: 9 / 10 / 11 / 11 keys
12 keys seem too high here. 9 key seller is unsold for a week and 1 of the 11 key sellers over 2 months. Going with 11 keys.