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eh
could only find 1 usable sale
https://marketplace.tf/items/30833;5;u12 -sold for 46.99
46.99/1.96 = 23.97
= 24 keys rounded
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Woolen%20Warmer
or a range with 20 in it since we're talkin cash sales/sellers
also 3 weeks unsold @ 20 = https://backpack.tf/item/5406864885