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Thanks BestTorbOce for providing the proof I've missed :)
Two recent sales:
Sale for 52 keys, 10 ref (around 52.26 keys) - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069388365#!/compare/1509926400/1510012800
Sale for normal batsaber - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198462815806#!/compare/1509408000/1509494400
Mini for batsaber: Sold for 45 pure - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969363424#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200
All current listings unsold by 2+ months, with 1 of them selling for 15% off @ 69k for 3 months - http://ibb.co/kMUxew
Therefore, sales and listings support a drop. Gonna go with 69k flat.
D R O P I T
For those wondering the sales are lower than the buyers. Support a drop but are too low to use.
Links to buyers:
https://backpack.tf/u/76561197963500354 (buying for 53.13k)
https://backpack.tf/u/76561198014564575 (buying for 53k)
https://backpack.tf/u/76561198009458322 (buying for 51k)
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019853110#!/compare/1515369600/1515801600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031673028#!/compare/1516233600/1517097600
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047476380#!/compare/1511395200/1511740800
No other recent clean sales. History link from the listing at 69, showing it's clean:
https://backpack.tf/item/743219066
The duped version has sales all over the place (extremely high/low). This is barely below 15% drop, but it's clearly better than current, so accepting.