Suggestion: Knifestorm Hat of Cards at 335 keys

Price Suggestion

~2050 keys

knife

49 votes up

22 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Fri, 16 Feb 18 15:24:35 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Knifestorm Hat of Cards

I don’t know why last suggestion was almost isnta closed but lets try with this one

Definetly needs a raise.

Sale 1)

Bought it as bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211304128#!/compare/1514073600/1514160000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1514073600/1514160000

X= bulk not using

Sale 2)

BF hat of cards (180) + Misty Gonzila (58) + Pro ks strange capper (11) + Pro Ks Batsaber (10) + Energy Orb Pistol (28) + hot knife (36) + collectors bootlegger (11) = 334

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1514764800/1514851200

For some reason doesnt show the trade from his side, but here´s the screenshoots:

https://imgur.com/a/gz2kX

https://imgur.com/a/QEZJc

Mini for Hat of Cards

No recent sales on the Hat of cards.

Mini for Gonzila

https://marketplace.tf/items/323;5;u44

Sold for 119.99$, keys were at 1.90 on that time.

119.99/1.9 = 63,1525…rouding to 63

Credits to Litronom for helping with this mini

X= 335 rounded

Going for 335 flat

Which items were involved in the first trade? If it's only 2:2, that's not very bulky. Two outdated hats, but the scorching modest scrap should be reasonably quick, and the shadows robo glove has moved half a dozen times in the last two months.

I bought the hat of cards more Ancient Eldritch Prehistoric Pullover for the Schorching modest + glove, only 2:2. Also if we consider the sale we would need lots of minis and micros, which compared to the last sugg from andrei it will be considered an outlier, thats why i exluded it.

The next person sold both hats for a Burning Flames Dapper, in-date at 220-250, which would be an easy but probably slightly inaccurate mini since they moved them pretty quickly.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211304128#!/compare/1514246400/1514332800

Still, that would mean this hat has a huge range, not sure where you'd go with it from there.

Idk why we can't price it fort his value since he is getting sold for way more than bp price, also this seller prob gonna keep it so it will get outdated. Also if we consider dedandrei sale it I'll put a range of 335-430 which is not to large. I can't see any reason to close this sugg.

But you are ignoring his purchase? The values of sales on this hat bounce a lot.

i ignored since foamy told on tprevious sugg it was an high value. so with this sale i think a range of 335-430 isnt bad since they are not very far apart values

The high end sale can't be used without a hoc mini, and that other sale is far lower. This confirms I was right on the last suggestion; the sales on this hat - including the new ones - are too far apart.

I offered 240 mixed on this one but I couldn't come up with the pure in time, if that helps. CH mancers + 120 keys to be exact.

Discussed this with the other moderators.

For clarity; full situation:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a07c79ccf6c756b2028ccd7

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a40bf4f44325a1d2f6df0a4

Sales here are

~110 (pure)

~150 ish

~335

~400

First sale was the ~110 pure. It then resold for ~400 (see prev. suggestions). That very same person ended up selling it in that 2:2 that, even generously, valuing that scrap at current seller's values, would be ~150. This means that he burned about two-thirds of his bp in two trades. In these cases, neither sale is a good indication of a normal common trading point.

That leaves us with only the sales at 110 and 335, and the range is simply too large here. Even if we'd take all sales into consideration here, the same issue would be in place. As such, this should be left unupdated, as there is not enough solid evidence that 335 flat is better than current here. With sales all over the place, it's best to have an outdated price than a cherry-picked updated price. Closing as such.