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https://backpack.tf/item/6280912838
sold on scm on Oct 29, only sale in the last 3 months (comparing Oct 28-Oct29-Oct30 on both sides shows it untradeable and nothing else transferred)
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Jungle%20Wreath
https://imgur.com/a/kwVng
1 sale on scm on that date, for C$375 - has to be it
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
https://imgur.com/a/e6QkP
Keys were 3.01 that day
375.38/3.01 = 124.7, rounding to 125
Compare link showing it was indeed bought on Oct 29th:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935#!/compare/1509235200/1509321600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1509753600 ----- still untradable on Nov 4th
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1509840000 ----- tradable the day after