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Mega Strike Taunt: The Victory Lap
Minda requested a counter :p
Seller(s)/buyer(s):
https://gyazo.com/eb06a7765e32205956801a67591a6c7e sellers at 65 and 70, highest buyer at ~26
https://backpack.tf/item/6470655933 69
https://backpack.tf/item/6052842331 70
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29498759 offers
https://backpack.tf/item/5252780702 ^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29509043 offers
https://backpack.tf/item/5486945227 ^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29436854 offers
https://backpack.tf/item/5215820169 ^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29479395 offers
https://backpack.tf/item/5537701324 ^
https://marketplace.tf/items/1172;5;u3010 ~175
https://backpack.tf/item/5332401097 ^
https://gyazo.com/6089d407194e4c5e9bc6fb5130c5dae8 lowest seller on scm at ~31
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090866602#!/compare/1511913600/1512086400
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29434567 165 b/o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29458983
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001206982#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000
Bulk for a Burning Patriot Peak
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083578650#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156517966#!/compare/1511308800/1514851200
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000644153#!/compare/1515283200/1515369600
Bulk for a Grail Victory Lap
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018467701#!/compare/1511913600/1512259200
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092484562#!/compare/1508976000/1513036800
Bulk
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092484562#!/compare/1513382400/1515888000
Bulk
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036272372#!/compare/1513555200/1514678400
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000426108#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
Quicksold for 26 keys
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198379237846#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291554347#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
Sold with a taunt for a PE Panama, ugh.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045466865#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214033803#!/compare/1511222400/1511395200
Sold for a Max(18.85 at the time) + Cool Stabbed to Hell Knife (F-T, 42.5) = rounds to 61
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214033803#!/compare/1513296000/1513382400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011468491#!/compare/1512691200/1513382400
Sold for an Energy Orb Masked Mender Medi Gun (MW, 70)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082415277#!/compare/1513987200/1515715200
Sold to a bot
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1514592000/1514678400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072923606#!/compare/1514332800/1514678400
Sold for 33 keys
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072923606#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800
Sold for 24 keys in a day
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261595073#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800
Sold for 34 keys
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261595073#!/compare/1515283200/1515369600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045579335#!/compare/1515024000/1515369600
Sold for a GE Defiant Spartan(45)
Spartan mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327109707#!/compare/1513900800/1513987200
Sold for a Starstorm Insomnia Coldnsap(43.5) + buds = rounds to 45
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075047686#!/compare/1511913600/1512259200
Scm
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075047686#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400
Sold with another taunt + 1 key for a Sunbeams Buckaroos, ugh.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1513123200/1513296000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048387142#!/compare/1510963200/1513296000
Sold for a DBD Drill Hat
No other sales on the Drill Hat, pretty confident it's still ~40 as there are buyers at ~35
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sale #22 and #23
https://marketplace.tf/items/1172;5;u3010
Sold for 72$/1.98 = ~36
Sold for 72$/1.98 = ~36
https://gyazo.com/76d271ce3a4ad893c66c6244d5470a23 1.98$ should be fine to use for Nov 19th
https://backpack.tf/item/6253158439 36 quicksold
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sales: 24(qs), 26(qs), 33, 34, 2x36(one qs), 45, 61, 70
Sellers: 31(scm), 69, 70, 175(mp.tf)
https://gyazo.com/30b7dae83c2214a2ad40931d4f24b5a0
Going 26-36 with Mindacos' comment.
Let it banana
There's no support whatsoever to include 26 in the range. It quicksold and there are 7 sales above it.
Furthermore, there's a buyer above 26. That should make it clear that 26 should not be included.
https://gyazo.com/6ee4dc1e4ced249a5b5ddd57129d4a7e
Unless you have some proof of that being a matured seller, there's absolutely no justification.
https://gyazo.com/5479dd887409060c22c0443b5243ee85
A seller at 31 keys provides no justification to include an invalid sale at 26 keys. Range should be 31-36 at the very least
Should I counter?
Buyer at 26.
Your sales: 24(qs), 26(qs), 33, 34, 2x36(one qs), 45, 61, 70; Sellers: 31(scm), 69, 70, 175(mp.tf)
Looks like 33-45 to me.
Did you see Mindacos' comment?
I did. I can kind of understand where he's coming from, but I disagree. He says, "With my experience on taunts, i've often had to make people resuggest to lower prices due to the sellers just being unable to sell for lower amounts than what's being suggested."
Nothing about that statement is really true here. Lowest seller for items is 60. There's a buyer for 26. And it's not like sellers are unable to sell for low amounts - you have sales at 45, 61, 70. And you're throwing them all out.
The listed price of this is 165. Is it inconceivable that an experienced seller can fetch 45-70 at 60-75% off? No - and they're doing it with regularity. Using an unsold of 26 to disregard all the item sales and sellers imo is not appropriate.
You can always leave this up to see what happens with current sellers.
-
What do you mean with "lowest seller for items"? Assuming this means non-scm sellers?
I wouldn't say they're doing it with regularity. I don't think we are disregarding the higher sales just with an unsold of 31 (there was no seller at 26, not sure if you typo'd or what?). As far as I'm concerned we're disregarding them with the sellers and the other sales together.
I'd also like to point out the fact that the seller(scm) doesn't seem to be there anymore: https://gyazo.com/a3782e3c553c9bab959380555d22c342
Not sure if it sold or not, the exact same value doesn't seem to be on the graph of sales?
I guess this could now be resuggested at 33-45 because the scm seller is gone. Also, are you taking 45 in the range because of the DBD Drill Hat sale? I personally wouldn't take 45 in if the Drill sale didn't happen.
yeah, 45 should be included in the range. Resuggest?
I'm just waiting for Polar or another mod to respond to my comment.
I didn't look at any of the proof. I just looked at your conclusions and that was what I had an issue with because it seemed like you were disregarding only the high end sales with imo improper justification. The SCM seller removing his listing is exactly why I don't like using that as a reason to define your range. There's no way to properly evaluate those listings (tell if they are a scammer, determine the item history, tell if they bought from a scammer, tell how long the listing was up, etc.) And if the SCM seller wasn't used to define your range, then I don't understand why you have 26 in your range when you label it as a quicksell and there was a quick buyer at 26.