0-30 days old:

Sale 1:

Sold for Eerie Orbiting Fire Frenchman’s Beret (Mini at 30 below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29480895 - No visible B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115721685#!/compare/1513728000/1513814400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043870818#!/compare/1513728000/1513814400

X = 30

Sale 2:

Sold for ~21 keys in taunts

No Outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154943672#!/compare/1514160000/1514246400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053665521#!/compare/1513987200/1514246400

X = 21

Sale 3:

Sold for $39 on Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/1112;5;u3001

Can’t identify the item’s history.

39/1.95 = 20

X = 20

Sale 4:

Sold for some amount of keys, most likely to a buy order

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400952853#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023051867#!/compare/1514592000/1514764800

Sale 5:

Bulk

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115721685#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800

Sale 6:

Sold for Neutron Star Hellmet

No B/O’s on outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115721685#!/compare/1513814400/1513900800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985386111#!/compare/1513900800/1513987200

No usable sales on the Hellmet, would most likely be too high anyways.

Sale 7:

Bulk for Demonflame Bloke’s Bucket Hat

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095909405#!/compare/1513382400/1513728000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1513641600/1513728000

Sale 8:

Sold with Mannrobics for Boston Breakdance Unusualifier

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354076377#!/compare/1512172800/1512259200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236788328#!/compare/1512172800/1512259200

Will end up being way too low, excluding.

30-60 days old:

Sale 9:

Sold for 15 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048008254#!/compare/1513209600/1513296000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168951488#!/compare/1513209600/1513382400

X = 15

Sale 10:

Sold for 14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1511913600/1512000000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153806405#!/compare/1511913600/1512000000

X = 14

Sale 11:

Sold for 13 keys, most likely to a buy order

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1512432000/1512518400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965601027#!/compare/1512432000/1512518400

X = 13

Sale 12:

Sold for 11 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116202154#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

X = 11

Sale 13:

Sold for Mega Strike Oblooterated + ~5 keys in pure/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236788328#!/compare/1512518400/1512604800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207084768#!/compare/1512518400/1512604800

Really don’t wanna use sales that involve other taunts, though this will most likely end up supporting the low-end here anyways.

Sale 14:

Sold for ’72 Party Trick + ~3.5 keys in pure/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120586555#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116202154#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400

’72 party trick was updated 3 weeks ago to 15.5, and has sellers at ~12-13. This should fit in the range.

Sale 15:

Sold with 10 keys for Puzzle Death Racer’s Helmet

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056783040#!/compare/1475020800/1513123200

Shouldn’t be used here.

Sale 16:

Sold for Spectral Swirl Box Trot

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056783040#!/compare/1513123200/1513209600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084976847#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

Don’t wanna update taunts with other taunts. Excluding.

Sale 17:

Probably sold to a buy order

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207084768#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048008254#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600

Eerie Orbiting Fire Frenchman’s Beret:

Sold for Fountain of Delight High 5 (49)

https://i.imgur.com/0Kkgk2b.png - B/O of 30

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259500466#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800

X = 30 (Capped by B/O)

Sellers:

25 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/PwJAydV.png - young

https://i.imgur.com/0Eq6MQp.png - 1 day

https://i.imgur.com/NrezsxK.png - young

~25.5 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/eav0m60.png - 2 days

26 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/MUKJoaN.png - 3 days

35 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/cMGBbsb.png - 2 months

https://i.imgur.com/yDu0sRV.png - 29 days

https://i.imgur.com/SLgyyrw.png - 26 days

40 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/u7Vnj6C.png - 2 days

https://i.imgur.com/zJVdH6F.png - 4 days

Steam Community Market Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/Y14fnwh.png

$42.47 (~17 keys)

$48.16 (~19 keys)

$58.26 (~24 keys)

Sales at:

11 (>30 days)

13 (>30 days)

14 (>30 days)

15 (>30 days)

20

21

30

Including sales over 30 days old, due to the fact that excluding them would give a price of 20-21, with SCM sellers going for cheaper.

30 is an outlier, excluding 30.

Quickbuyer at 14 keys: https://i.imgur.com/6Mo4Uil.png

Excluding 14 and lower.

Going with 15-21.