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First suggestion (pl0x don't shit on me),
3 sales.
Only 1 of 2 on the market that I've seen which was bought and sold by me + sold by my buyer.
Other one is on the Steam Community Market for $95.00 USD (95.00/2.5 = 38 keys), I don't believe it will sell.
Sale 1: 22 keys + sweets
https://imgur.com/a/VCIUN
Paid 22 keys + a war-pig (4 ref) + a Minimal wear Bovine Blazemaker mk.II Powerjack (approximately 16 ref)
Taking 22 flat.
Sale 2: 24 keys
https://imgur.com/a/QuCTm
Sold for 24 keys flat.
Sale 3: 26 keys + sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119565498#!/compare/1516147200/1516233600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080116108#!/compare/1516147200/1516233600
26 key pure + sweets (taking as 1 key due to quicksale prices of sweets (14.11 ref +14.33 ref + 1.88 ref + 1.88 ref + 3.33 ref = 35.55 ref))
Taking as 27 keys.
Mini's on sweets if you can be bothered to look at em.
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Coldfront%20Commander&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Quickbuyer at 14.11
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Conspicuous%20Camouflage&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Quickbuyer at 14.33
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Polar%20Bear&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Quickbuyer at 1.88
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Sinner%27s%20Shade&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Quickbuyer at 1.88
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Burning%20Beanie&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0
Quickbuyer at 3.33
If there have been any sales I've missed that don't support this rise I'll pull this down otherwise.
another sale to add to the suggestion, hopefully i did it right.
Sale 4: 26 keys
https://imgur.com/a/XD5Zi
Paid 26 keys flat
Justifies the rise.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104168501#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200 - sold for 20 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040514615#!/compare/1513814400/1514160000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961279983#!/compare/1514073600/1514160000 - sold for 17 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800 - sold for 26 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064423172#!/compare/1517616000/1517702400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042772897#!/compare/1517616000/1517702400 - sold for 24 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077572428#!/compare/1516665600/1516752000 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109759891#!/compare/1515888000/1515974400 - bulk
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29483837
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109759891#!/compare/1513641600/1513728000 - sold for Cool Specialized Killstreak Star Crossed Sniper Rifle (Field-Tested)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1511913600/1512172800 - bulk
https://marketplace.tf/items/110;5;u30 - sold for $48 = 25 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186748463#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097135729#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600 - sold for 20 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083529516#!/compare/1516579200/1516665600 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083529516#!/compare/1513296000/1513382400 - sold for 20 keys
looking at these we can see that the sales at 20 or less took relatively fast and multiple buyers counter those so this should be fine, you could use this sale to price the sniper maybe (and see if there are any other sales on that if needed)