Sale 1, 2 & 3:

Sold for $35, $37.99 and $38 on Marketplace.tf (last 2 on the same day)

https://marketplace.tf/items/30614;5;u3001

https://backpack.tf/item/4379536158 (only history I could find)

35/1.99 = ~17.6

37.99/1.94 = ~19.6

38/1.94 = ~19.6

X = 18 and 20 (2x)

Sale 4:

Sold for DBD Letch’s LED (17.5)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108086385#!/compare/1516838400/1516924800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123893855#!/compare/1516838400/1516924800

X = 18

Sale 5:

Sold for 14 keys in a day

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018333134#!/compare/1515196800/1515283200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317608743#!/compare/1515196800/1515283200

X = 14

Sale 6:

Sold for either 14 keys for Spec. KS Aussie Grenade launcher (14)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29515557 - No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796403867#!/compare/1515715200/1515801600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125915960#!/compare/1515715200/1515801600

X = 14

Sale 7:

Sold for 10 keys + ~1 key in items in a day

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115699456#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415950210#!/compare/1514937600/1515196800

X = 11

Sale 8:

Sold for Showstopper Digeridrongo

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1515024000/1515110400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186643130#!/compare/1514937600/1515196800

Use on the dilda

Sale 9:

Bulk for Logo Trophy Belt

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186643130#!/compare/1514937600/1515196800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115699456#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800

Sale 10:

Sold for Purple Confetti Fro

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396230873#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316802174#!/compare/1515196800/1515283200

Couldn’t get a mini on the fro, excluding.

Sale 11:

Bulk for something

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002558542#!/compare/1516147200/1516233600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004952793#!/compare/1516147200/1516233600

Sellers:

15 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/H5fdNkZ.png - 1 day

https://backpack.tf/item/4461641393

18 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/umt4PWe.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4212413237

20 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/tQ3ssOW.png - 11 days

https://backpack.tf/item/3611035993

https://i.imgur.com/A0TFne9.png - 7 days

https://backpack.tf/item/4655713204

https://i.imgur.com/vchXOQj.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4470232642

35 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/7EcOSXc.png - 11 days

https://backpack.tf/item/4482964958

SCM Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/MxtSEXg.png

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Most%20Wanted?filter=showstopper

2x ~11.5, rest shouldn’t matter much. Can’t tell how long they’ve been up there for, so not setting the low-end with them.

Sales at:

11

14 (2x)

18 (2x)

20 (2x)

11 quicksold, excluding 11.

14 quicksold once, but all the sales (including the p. fetti fro) lower than the sales at 18-20, as well as the seller at 15 support 14 being in the range.

Excluding 20, both were marketplace sales and are likely to have had lower B/O’s, and the cheaper sellers support the drop.

Going with 14-18 (range suggested by Sin)

18 key seller sold for peace sign panama, mini at 15 below

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123893855#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076190940#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200

panama sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260543030#!/compare/1511308800/1511395200

20 key seller listed on mp.tf