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Resuggestion.
Sales:
Sale 1) https://marketplace.tf/items/181;5;u34 for $21.99
Assuming keys = $1.98, it got sold 11.11 keys.
(Seems like an outlier though)
Sale 2) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147243794#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400
Sold for... 8 keys? I think.
Sale 3) https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271917601#!/compare/1512000000/1512172800
Sold for... 4 keys, and an australium professional killstreak axtinguisher.
(The australium went to someone else, and the keys were never registered so... I guess it's around 5.6 keys)
BONUS: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188268857#!/compare/1511740800/1512000000
Sold for an Orbiting Fire Professional's Panama. It doesn't have a recent updated price though...
where is your low-end coming from?
The 4 keys and prof ks aussie axtinguisher?
Sale 3 is actually ~9 pure, Axtinguisher not involved, fortunately doesn't change things value wise: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1512086400/1512172800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1517875200/1517961600 - Additional more recent sale for 11 pure, which gives the high end necessary support
Low end sale was fast, but current sellers support that it does need to be there. Range should be fine overall.