Price Suggestion
Green Energy Dr's Dapper Topper
Submitted by ★ Scourge
82.29%
118 keys
71–117 keys
15
~155 keys
g.nrg
Unusual Dr's Dapper Topper Green Energy
79 votes up
17 votes down
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Comments


4 listed on Bp.tf, all within the month:


90 keys 6 hours ago

110 6 days ago

118 9 days ago

120 15 days ago (duped)


Month old listing for Topper:

https://bazaar.tf/search/?s=252&sg=440&sp=quality=5,effect=9

Already sold, undetermined amount.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/273019455

4 listed on Outpost:

120, 120, 110 - 120, and no posted B/O.


https://marketplace.tf/items/252;5;u9

2 sales in 2018 for GE Dapper:

$179.99 (after fees is 67.88 keys)

$190 (after fees is 71.65 keys)


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158482500#!/compare/1513468800/1513555200 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339104273#!/compare/1513468800/1513555200 Buyer

Sold for Searing Executioner*

NOTE: This hat was worth 114 - 125 keys at the time this hat was sold

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158482500#!/compare/1514073600/1514246400

Executioner was sold for Tesla Deep Cove(54)r + 24.31 keys at a later date.

total is 78.31 keys (roughly, some discrepancies detected in this trade)

Rounding to 78 flat.


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198339104273#!/compare/1516492800/1516579200

Sold with Beams Field Practice for Time Warp Muffs(180)


Practice Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164819613#!/compare/1512691200/1513036800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079599572#!/compare/1512691200/1513036800 Buyer

Sold for Amarinthine Beret(48) + 6.17 keys in sweets

48 + 6.17 = 54.17, rounding to 54 keys.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054584101#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000 Buyer

Sold for FN Isotope Quack Canvassed Warpaint + 11 keys

Unable to find usable sale on warpaint, not counting.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198224890780#!/compare/1512172800/1514851200 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095741274#!/compare/1512259200/1514764800 Buyer

Sold for Beams Thirst Blood(100) + Aussie Tomislav(11)* (Aussie Scattergun and 26 keys were also in trade, but negated each other, so not including.)

*Note: Tomislav was festivized + Pro KS attached and sold for 16 keys. keeping value at 11.

Total is 111 keys.

averaging 2 sales for 82.5 keys.

Using this as baseline.

180 - 82.5 = 97.5 keys, rounding to 98 keys.


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Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305558600#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063658239#!/compare/1515715200/1516060800 Buyer

Sold with Aces Antlers(82.5) + Infernal Burstchester(41) for Burning Dapper Topper(235)

235 - (82.5 + 41) = 111.5, rounding to 112.


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Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063658239#!/compare/1516233600/1516924800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271088156#!/compare/1516665600/1516924800 Buyer

Sold for CH Kiss King + 18 keys pure


Kiss King Mini:

No Non-Strange Kiss Kings have sold other than above.

Using Strange Kiss King sales, can deduce price of non- strange Kiss King:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1515715200/1515801600 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141753331#!/compare/1515715200/1515801600 Buyer

Sold for CH Gauzed Gaze(58) + 11 keys + 4.6 keys in sweets

58 + 11 + 4.6 = 73.6 keys, rounding to 74 for simplicity


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968608003#!/compare/1515024000/1515110400

Sold for 60 pure


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079170528#!/compare/1515024000/1515110400

Sold for Hellfire Sterling + 14 keys

Suggestion for hell fire for 52.5 keys

total is 14 + 52.5 = 66.6 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255032737#!/compare/1515196800/1515283200

Sold for Burning Napper(90)


In total: 60,66.6,74,90

While 60 is cutting close to bot prices, 90 looks to be the outlier.

Setting price at 60-74, averaging 67 keys.

Knowing Strange Kiss King sells for 67, it is impossible to believe that regular Kiss king sells for more.

For sake of of suggestion, set high-end of non-strange Kiss King to low-end Strange Kiss King.

Therefore, CH Kiss King is 60 keys.


Total is 60 + 18 = 78 keys.


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Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180769950#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800 Buyer

Sold for Duped 13th Hour Safe'N'Sound.


Safe'N'Sound Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100877472#!/compare/1515628800/1515715200

Sold for 85 pure

Can't find any other usable sales, only clean one has not been traded in a year.

Valuing at 85.


Total is 85 keys.


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1515456000/1515628800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020471#!/compare/1515456000/1515542400 Buyer

Sold for Miami Nights Engy Cap(17.5) + Blizzardy Nuke + 60 keys + Spec KS Strange Jag(1.16)


Nuke Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161053005#!/compare/1516233600/1516320000

Sold with a key for Logo Thirst Blood(23) + Peace Sign Whoopee Cap(20)

(20 + 23) - 1 = 42 keys


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161053005#!/compare/1515974400/1516147200

Sold for OF Brainiac(24) + 1 keys

Total is 25 keys


No other usable sales.

averaging between the two sales a price of 33.5. Rounding up to 34 keys.


Total is 17.5 + 34 + 60 + 1.16 = 112.66 keys

Rounding to 113 keys.


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Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020471#!/compare/1515542400/1515628800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1515542400/1515628800 Buyer

Sold with 3.32 keys (not including strange parts) in sweets for Ghosts Jr. Dapper Topper (120)


120 - 3.32 = 116.68, rounding to 117 keys.


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1516320000/1516406400 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1516320000/1516406400 Buyer


Sold with Duped PE Trilby for GE Rotation Sensation


Trilby Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200

Sold for Burning Cone(55)

Total is 55 keys

Sale seems to be outlier based on other, unusable sales that contain way too many items to find accurate price. Valuing at 46.5


Sensation Mini:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057034390#!/compare/1515974400/1517011200 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072922907#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200 Buyer

Sold for DP Mohawk(36.5) + Searing YWN(40.5) + Strange OF Field Practice(25) + Pro KS Collectors Diamondback(6.44) + Spec KS Aussie SMG(6.65)


Total is 36.5 + 40.5 + 25 + 6.44 + 6.65 = 115.09 keys, rounding to 115 keys.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1516406400/1516492800 Seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093707809#!/compare/1515888000/1516492800 Buyer

Sold with C9 Boxcar Bomber(57) + Peace Sign Phantom(28.5) + Peace Sign Patriot Peak(sold for 40 pure) + Duped Searing Head Warmer(sold for 27 pure) + Genuine Horace(3) for Scorching Modest(330)

Head Warmer can be found below

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058316398#!/compare/1516406400/1516492800

330 - (57 + 28.5 + 40 +27 + 3) = 174.5 keys, rounding to 175 keys.


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335905692#!/compare/1515542400/1515801600

Sold with Pro KS Strange Festive Ubersaw(4.96) + Pro KS Strange FESTIVIZED Medigun(19.96) for Haunted Ghosts Patriot Peak(142.5)

142.5 - ( 4.96 + 19.96) = 117.58, rounding to 120 keys.


175 looks like an outlier, valuing GE Sensation at 117.5 keys (average of 115 & 120).


Total is 117.5 - 46.5 = 71 keys.

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So, in conclusion:

67.88

71

71.65

78

78

85

98

112

113

117


sale @ 67 can bewritten off as QS.

abundance of sales at 70 cannot.

setting range from 71 to 117.

Avatar ★ Scourge · posted

Isn't buyer at 73 keys counters 71-keys and lower sales?

Avatar ★ Moonlight · posted

    it may counter if it wasn't so many sales at that price.

    only 3 sales are for the current price, yet 5-7 are for 70-90.

    Avatar ★ Scourge · posted

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271088156#!/compare/1516665600/1516924800

    Better used on Kys king

    Avatar ★ Alberny · posted

      Adding more:


      New seller for 76 keys.


      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Sale 11:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117090444#!/compare/1519344000/1519430400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1519344000/1519430400

      Sold with Ghosts Rack for Frostbite Dapper


      ================================================================================


      Rack Mini:

      https://marketplace.tf/items/339;5;u8/Sunbeams%20Exquisite%20Rack

      2 non QS:

      255 USD or 128.79 keys

      279.99 USD or 141.41 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139555295#!/compare/1519344000/1519516800

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284#!/compare/1519516800/1519603200

      Sold with 20 keys for Spellbound Tyrantium(130)

      Totalis 130 - 20 = 110 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074924284#!/compare/1519776000/1519862400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115913496#!/compare/1519603200/1519862400

      Sold for 136 keys pure


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094819444#!/compare/1517184000/1517270400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756155#!/compare/1517356800/1517443200

      Sold with 9 keys + 1 key(at the time) in metal + 1.32 keys in sweets and Phantasm Bronco for Ghosts Jr. Brainiac(200)

      Bronco was sold for 25 pure:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756155#!/compare/1517616000/1517702400

      For the sake of the suggestion, valuing the bronco @ 25 keys

      Total is 200 - (10 + 1.32 + 25) = 163.68 keys


      Considering listings @ 135 & 140, QB at 90, calling 163.38 outlier, using 110 to 140 (rounded 136), averaging to 125 keys.


      ================================================================================


      Frostbite Dapper Mini:


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117090444#!/compare/1519689600/1519776000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132226518#!/compare/1519689600/1519776000

      Sold for Beams Pith Helmet(69) + GF Rack(100)

      Total is 169 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103837160#!/compare/1513296000/1513382400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057330477#!/compare/1513209600/1513382400

      Sold for 13th Hour Gentleman's Ushanka(145.5) + 24 keys + 1 key in ref(old price) + 2 Genuine Shred Alerts(1.73 x 2)

      Total is 145 + 24 + 1 + (1.73 x 2) = 173.46 keys


      Sales are based on very old or unreliable info, other sales are complex/untraceable/bulk to count.

      defaulting to 195 keys.


      ================================================================================


      total is 195 - 125 = 70 keys.


      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Sale 12:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1519171200/1519257600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1519171200/1519257600

      Sold for 71 keys 5 ref

      Basing of the new listing that Cheerful has put up.

      Not using on account of no way to prove other than correlation.


      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Sale 13:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1519776000/1519862400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196712118#!/compare/1519776000/1519862400

      Sold for GE Festive Tree + 31 keys + 9 ref


      ================================================================================


      Tree Mini:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1518480000/1518566400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278847140#!/compare/1518393600/1518566400

      Sold for 46 pure + 20 ref


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111878875#!/compare/1517961600/1518048000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1517961600/1518048000

      Sold with DBD Thrist Blood(34.5) + 3.4 keys keys in sweets for GE Defiant Spartan(46.5) + Beams Hetman's(32)

      Total is (46.5 + 32) - (34.5 +3.4) = 40.6 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1516406400/1516492800

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111878875#!/compare/1516406400/1516492800

      Sold for 47 pure


      Calling 40 an outlier, using 47 keys.


      ================================================================================


      Total is 47 + 31.32 = 78.32 keys


      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Sale 14:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196712118#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188754881#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800

      Sold for C9 Galvanized Gibus + 35 keys


      ================================================================================


      Gibus Mini:

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139831684#!/compare/1519603200/1519689600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024925599#!/compare/1519603200/1519689600

      Sold for 36 keys + 21 ref


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179707937#!/compare/1518393600/1518480000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142893003#!/compare/1517788800/1518480000

      Sold for PE Football Helmet(19.5) + Miami Nights Trilby(17.5) + FoD Zoomin(30)

      Total is 19.5 + 17.5 + 30 = 67 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1517356800/1517443200

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001953338#!/compare/1517356800/1517443200

      Sold for Steaming Exclusive(40.5) + 7 keys

      Total is 47.5 keys


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1517184000/1517270400

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1517184000/1517270400

      Sold for 44 keys + 43.44 ref (keys at 37.11 ref at the time)

      Total is 45 keys + 6.33 ref


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134032653#!/compare/1512172800/1512777600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206909407#!/compare/1512172800/1512259200

      Sold for C9 Salty Dog(44)


      36 is QS.

      Calling 67 an outlier.

      setting range of 44 - 48, average of 46 keys.


      ================================================================================


      Total is (46 + 36 + 0.56) = 82.56 keys


      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      New Sales are:

      70, 78.32, 82.56

      Sale @ 70 can be ignored as Dapper it was sold for has no reliable sales.


      Avatar ★ Scourge · posted

        Your appraisal of the mp sales is not correct. i'm not sure what went wrong there.


        190$ = ~96 keys

        180$ = ~91 keys

        Both of these are done at the current key rate of 1.98$. this varies slightly over time, so they could both be a key or two off, but not more than that.


        That rotation sale really shouldn't be used here; especially with the wonky mini with a wide range where the high end was rejected as outlier, it is more of an indication that the rotation needs a wider range.


        All in all this ends up being low, though I guess a drop is undeniable. With the abundance of lower sales, a range of 80-115 (rounding 78 up and 117 down) would work here

        Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

          Re-suggesting now.

          Avatar ★ Scourge · posted