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~60 keys
peace
Unusual Hong Kong Cone Circling Peace Sign
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Circling Peace Sign Hong Kong Cone


Sale 1: Sold for Fountain of Delight Taunt: The Balloonibouncer (29) + Magnetic Hat Protector Captain Space Mann (110) + 5 keys pure --> 144

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326093863#!/compare/1512172800/1512259200

B/O: 150 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29463361

Mini Balloonibouncer: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a6b957acf6c7528af24ac5f


Sale 2: Sold for 61 keys pure + Scorching Flames Shooter's Sola Topi (35) --> 96

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180186261#!/compare/1512086400/1512172800


Sale 3: Sold for Anti-Freeze Slo-Poke (135)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994454891#!/compare/1512950400/1513036800


Sale 4: Sold for Haunted Ghosts Winter Woodsman (111.5) --> rounding to 112

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292242424#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074726928#!/compare/1513036800/1513123200

Mini Woodsman: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a4a7d08cf6c754d8f37cb5c


Sale 5: Sold together for Haunted Ghosts Tough Stuff Muffs (107.5) and 7 keys pure --> 114.5; rounding to 115

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064367685#!/compare/1517616000/1517788800

Mini Tough Stuff: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a7a6a0ccf6c75206c429b6b


Sale 7: Sold together with Australium Spec KS Grenade Launcher (13) for Anti-Freeze Your Worst Nightmare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198452226254#!/compare/1517529600/1517616000

Using this on the YWN


Sale 7: Sold for Searing Plasma Galvanized Gibus and 10 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163204583#!/compare/1512518400/1512691200

Using this on Gibus


Sale 8: Sold for Stormy 13th Hour Nasty Norsemann

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028307864#!/compare/1516838400/1516924800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157176919#!/compare/1516838400/1517011200

Should be used on unpriced Norseman


Sale 9: Sold together with ~1 keys as sweets for Disco Beat Down Brotherhood of Arms

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106017833#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600

Mini Dbd BoA

Should be used on the BoA


Sale 10: Sold for duped Eerie Orbiting Fire Whoopee Cap + Midnight Whirlwind Taunt: The High Five! (14.5) + Bubbling Mining Light + Australium Eyelander (29) + 20 pure + ~12.5 keys sweets; excluding found no useable mini for Whoppe

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1517529600/1517616000

Mini duped Whoope

Mini Minight Light


Sale 11: Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014728963#!/compare/1517702400/1517788800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115062041#!/compare/1517702400/1517788800


Sale 12: Untraceable; only a few keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292242424#!/compare/1513728000/1513814400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072492830#!/compare/1513728000/1513814400


Sales at: 96, 112, 115 135, 144

Buyers at 72.X; sellers at 140 (young); 150 (matured; over a month)

https://i.imgur.com/IHMiiki.png

Suggesting range from 95 to 145.

      Aight so there is a bunch of sellers for under 145 (all clean) - https://i.imgur.com/MAeXtr0.png , and the sale being used as 145 here seems to be pretty old. So imo i would just cut that out entirely.


      The sale for 95 also seems to be a bit on the low side, and is also kinda old, as well as he only had it for like 5 days, So cut that one too. - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29458177


      Out of the sales that Joxu linked the only useful one here is prolly this one

      " https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127328235#!/compare/1518048000/1518134400


      Sold with a Spec.Aussie.SMG + Conga for a Searing Casemaker + Vivid Bot Dogger + S.C9 Elf Esteem"


      That needs minis as well, So I would look into minis on the those hats from that sale and it it falls between 112-135 then we good. If it does push towards more of a high end I'd be more ok with including 145.


      As for now 112 or 110-135 seems like the right range to go with here. Unless as said before that new sales proves to support 145.


        Thanks for the feedback, Randy. Why exactly is 96 low though? He didn't really quicksell it and compared to the other sales its not really an outlier. 112 and 115 are pretty much same close to 95 and 135 so I don't see how that would be an outlier?

          Moreso the reason why Im cutting it off is that he didnt have it for long at all so im more inclined to call the sale low since he was prolly just trying to move it and the sale itself is old.


          Im also all for the idea that if we see 2 sales that are kinda on their own at the outer points of the range we can cut them off with valid enough reason.

          Example here being 95 was moved in 5 days and is an old trade, while 145 seems high as a high end due to age of sale and sellers show that its prolly high. So here since we got 2 sales at basically 115 and 1 at 135 which are always not as old I push more towards using more recent sales while making a tighter range that represents the price in a more accurate way.