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https://marketplace.tf/items/30018;5;u16
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/273125052
Listings on bp.tf, outpost, & Marketplace overlap.
1st Listed @ 40, B/O of 40 - 50, unsold for 20 days.
2nd Listed @ 44 keys, unsold for a month.
3rd listed @ 45 keys, $82.99 on Marketplace, unsold for 3 months
4th Listed @ 45, unsold for 9 months.
5th listed @ 45, 2 day old listing.
Listing on Marketplace @ $79 or (keys being 1.86) 35.17 keys (unsold for 2 years.)
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083505031#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800 Seller
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078788858#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800 Buyer
Sold for C9 Slouch(40)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271849286#!/compare/1514592000/1514764800
Sold for PE Doctor's Sack
================================================================================
Sack Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079967805#!/compare/1517270400/1517356800
Sold for 25 pure.
Only traceable sale.
Using 25.
================================================================================
Total is 25.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291643976#!/compare/1515456000/1515542400
Sold with Bubbling Tossle Cap for DBD Bot Dogger + 2.56 keys in sweets.
================================================================================
Tossle Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062243094#!/compare/1517443200/1517529600
Sold for DP Attendant(12) + 9 keys
Total is 21 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062243094#!/compare/1517356800/1517443200
Sold For Peace Sign Batter's (18) + 3 keys
Total is 21 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212776984#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800
Sold for Peace Sign Toy Soldier(20)
Pricing at 21 keys.
================================================================================
DBD Dogger Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164819613#!/compare/1514937600/1515024000
Sold for HG Base Metal Billycock(22)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1513987200/1514073600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075948427#!/compare/1513555200/1514073600
Sold for Smoking Nano(13) + Haunted Kiev(10.5) + Plumber Cap(1.85)
Total is 25.35 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313532674#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200
Sold for C9 Pillar +4.25 keys in sweets.
Total is 27 + 4.25 = 31.25
31 looks like an outlier, using 22-25, averaging to 23.5.
================================================================================
Total is (23.5 + 2.56) - 21 = 5.06 keys.
obviously ignoring.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083505031#!/compare/1514332800/1514505600
Sold for Overclocked Galvanized Gibus
================================================================================
Gibus Mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200 Seller
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081793950#!/compare/1516924800/1517011200 Buyer
Sold for 30 pure + 0.44 metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258628306#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200 Seller
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170190173#!/compare/1516060800/1516147200 Buyer
Sold for FT Isotope Aloha Scattergun.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Scattergun Micro:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258628306#!/compare/1516147200/1516233600
Sold for 72 Bronco
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Bronco Nano:
https://marketplace.tf/items/30618;5;u3004 Sold for 21.59 keys, 16.65 keys, & 8.46 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322709916#!/compare/1517011200/1517097600
Sold for MW Red Roscoe Strange Pistol(30.86 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322709916#!/compare/1516492800/1516579200
Sold for BS Festivized Hot Blitzkrieg Pistol(25)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261595073#!/compare/1516492800/1516579200
Sold for CH Airdog(26.5)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070513361#!/compare/1517011200/1517443200 Buyer
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1517270400/1517356800 Seller
Sold for 41 pure + Bronco +Strange HWNN(1.15) + Pro KS Aussie Frontier Justice(13.26) for DBD HWNN(70)
Total is 70 - (41 + 1.15 + 13.26) = 14.59 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198281630040#!/compare/1515283200/1515369600
Sold for OF Milkman(13.5)
Sales @ 8.46, 13.5, 14.59, 16.65, 21.59, 25, 26.5, 30.86
8.46 is QS. Taking average of 3 lowest (15) & three highest (27.45) then averaging those 2 for a price of 21.22 keys.
Rounding to 21.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Therefore the Scattergun sold for 21 keys.
Only usable sale. Valuing at 21 keys.
The item did sell as a part of a set, unknown amount (cash or something)
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Therefore the Gibus sold for 21 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258628306#!/compare/1515974400/1516060800
Sold for Abduction HFOHA(17.5) + Hot FT Flower Power Revolver(27)
Total is 44.5 keys. Rounding up to 45.
Total sales @ 21, 30, and 45.
Taking 21 as outlier, too close to QS price.
30 and 45 average to 37.5 keys.
================================================================================
Total is 37.5 keys.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388976275#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200
Sold for 31 keys and 13.88 ref (Toy Soldier sold for 25 pure, then bought from scrap bot.)
This deduction in price is based off of GF Pile of Scrap, which has same price as Dogger (45.5), and is listed for said amount:
https://scrap.tf/unusuals/89
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
So in Total:
25, 31, 37.5, 40.
25 is close to QB price, outlier.
setting range from 30-40 keys.
I feel like with the unsold, 30-35 might be better, rounding the 37.5 to 35 and 31 to 30
Rounding 37.5 to 35? Please no.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1518048000/1518134400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127328235#!/compare/1518048000/1518134400 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1517788800/1517875200 - bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291643976#!/compare/1515801600/1515974400 - bulky and low
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187117218#!/compare/1515283200/1515542400 - sale 3 histories don't match but it looks like the overclocked hallmark was involved somehow, either ways still seems low
histories don't match on the gibus sale either
also for your last sale do you have actual proof of the sale because it is wrong regardless since scrap.tf bases it's prices off the low-end hence this would have been listed at a different value to the modest
https://backpack.tf/item/1804995286
For the gibus sale, I was going off the my 1st sale as well.
The logic I should have put into the original suggestion was that the Bot Dogger sold for the Gibus:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198292242424#!/compare/1514419200/1514505600
Then was sold for the Slouch:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078788858#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800
Here's what the Toy Soldier sold for:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133242690#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200
25 pure.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388976275#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200
Add in the 7 keys here, subtract the refined that was received from the bot (roughly 16)
which totals 25 + 7 = 32
32 - 0.43 keys = 31.57 keys, or 31 keys + 20 ref
a difference of about 7 ref, which does not change the price of the sale.
Still looking into sale 3.
Bump, been a month and no mod comments
I’d check for other sales and wait for a mod to comment they are currently backlogged
No other sales, unfortunately.
You can't just estimate your low end, and you shouldn't be using sales from Scrapprehensive anyway, especially not those that sold in under a day. So 30 isn't supported here.
Gibus doesn't match, as mentioned above, so that sale isn't valid. Histories show that the Gibus was sold to Redmark for keys, which were then used to buy the Dogger from Scrapprehensive: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1514419200/1514505600 (sale wound up being ~28 there, for reference)
That sale can't be used here for the same reason as sale #5.
There are now two on sale for ~$74, or ~37 keys, on Marketplace, and they've been there at approximately that price for ~3 weeks at least: https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:1J1PyXQLDpkJ:https://marketplace.tf/items/30018%3B5%3Bu16/Vivid%2520Plasma%2520Bot%2520Dogger+&cd=4&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
While it isn't ideal to use these as a low-end, it is going to wind up being necessary here. Given that is has quicksold from Scrapprehensive twice for more than the Doctor's Sack sale, that sale doesn't really belong in the range, and setting a flat price at 40 with two sellers below doesn't work either. Please re-suggest at 37-40.