Led Zeppelin is my favorite cover band

...

On the SCM USD starting at $120 should support, or at least not disprove anything here.

One sale dropping the price by 50% for a 30 of a kind item? I know you want to shoot down that hoarder andrew but come on. Especially when your only source is the marketplace graph which could easily be a quicksell. You don't even have the history on the sold item to compare.

And how do you round 128.98 to 50 keys? That's just sloppy.

128.98 is not 50 keys, not even close. Taking around ~1.95 per key, the sale rounds to ~65 keys.

https://backpack.tf/item/6300723409 ----- history link, doesn't seem like it quicksold.

Other sales: Untraceable (didn't sell on marketplace)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261369921#!/compare/1519776000/1519862400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254039787#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080539814#!/compare/1515628800/1515715200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1515628800/1515715200

Tesla Bomber

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080539814#!/compare/1515715200/1515801600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198217462641#!/compare/1515283200/1515801600

Only traceable sale for the Bomber is ~56 keys here, which might have been a quicksale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080539814#!/compare/1517961600/1518048000

So I would ignore the Bomber sale since it has no solid mini (although it supports the drop), and go with 65 flat here.