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Haunted Phantasm Jr Hotrod
Sale 1: 29 keys pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168997670#!/compare/1517702400/1517788800
Sale 2: 29 keys + ~1.25 key in items --> ~30 keys. Owner tried selling it for over a week according to discord chat.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196947639#!/compare/1519171200/1519257600
Sale 3: 21 keys pure; seems low. I asked ScootHawk how much he paid but he wouldn't tell. https://i.imgur.com/MYIy0Si.png --> Excluding
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168997670#!/compare/1518652800/1518825600
Sale 4: Untraceable; none of the key batches seem to match. K1ng suspects it is 23 keys because same buyer has currently a buy order up for that price. https://i.imgur.com/bPddHXk.png.
Seems to be a quicksell either way because the guy sold all his unusuals for keys so it is safe to exclude.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987183850#!/compare/1515369600/1517443200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1517356800/1517443200
Buyers at 23 and 24 keys. https://i.imgur.com/1drU7ZZ.png
Sales at 29, 30 Suggesting range from 29 to 30 keys. Thanks to K1ng for his help on the range and with sale 4.
Those are all quicksells, sister effect priced at 52, buyers 24.
do you use the discord just to look for prices to manipulate?
these are obvious quicksales my dude
lets pretend the HPJ has the same price as GGJ, being 52
a quicksale (70% of price) on that would be 36.4
granted, ghosts is more expensive than phantasm, but this is ridiculously low
said it earlier already, but ｏｂｖｉｏｕｓ ｑｕｉｃｋｓａｌｅｓ
GGJr Hotrod is 3 years outdated, wouldn't use that as a reference. Anyways, what matters here are the sales:
- Quicksold to a bot for ~23.
- Bot resold for 29.
- New owner quicksold for 26 after listing it for 50 (sale 3 here, bought by ScootHawk https://imgur.com/a/cvXOa )
- ScootHawk sold for ~30 after listing it for 40.
As it was discussed on discord, if we are after the common (non-quickbuy) trading point, then 29-30 sounds reasonable. This should stay open for a while anyways to see if we can get more data points.
Another sale:
Sold for a Stormy Storm Caribou Companion and ~8.5 Keys in Sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085880346#!/compare/1519344000/1519430400
Stormy Storm Caribou Companion mini suggestion
Sold for a Burning Flames Tungsten Toque(Outdated at 40 Keys) and ~2 Keys in Sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273410546#!/compare/1515024000/1515110400
Added 2 Keys for a Cloud 9 Vive La France(69 Keys)(67 Keys total)(wtf)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194944434#!/compare/1515024000/1515110400
Added 6 Keys for a Duped Misty Skull Doctor's Sack
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057099757#!/compare/1517702400/1517875200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116024573#!/compare/1517788800/1517875200
Sold for a Strange Nuts & Bolts Cotton Head(Non-Strange is valued at 23), an Abduction Head Full of Hot Air(Outdated at 17.5 Keys) and 3 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198265118869#!/compare/1516838400/1517011200
Sold for a Hot Brain Candy Rocket Launcher(Outdated at 40 Keys) and ~2 Keys in Sweets
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094041774#!/compare/1519171200/1519344000
With sellers at 32 Keys for the Caribou, I have no idea which of these sales is going to be valid. But if there's one thing I know for sure is that the sale I provided is going to be well above 30 keys.
The best thing to do here is to keep waiting for more sales on either the hotrod or the caribou, but this will very likely need to be resuggested with a wider range.
So should I leave this open to see if we get more sales? If no more sales occur then the sale you found could also be used to price the Caribou.
Yeah leave it open for now, and no, this sale would be too low to use on the caribou if this gets priced at 29.5.
One sale at 21 vs 5 sales at ~40+? :L
Took it up to make the stormy storm caribou suggestion, found a price range to be ~33-44 keys. Although the range is relatively large, the numbers are far larger than just 21 keys :P (only had 1 sale @ 21 and that was sold in january so...)
What to do here mindacos?
So the caribou sale will most likely end up being too high here.
But there are also 2 lower sales for the hotrod.
Outliers on either end, accepting.