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Circling Peace Sign Lightning Lid
Seller(s)/buyer(s):
https://gyazo.com/486607709d3cd4dfef67bb6c12120ff6 no sellers on classies, highest buyer at ~33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29560510 offers
https://backpack.tf/item/6563754929 ^
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Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150783829#!/compare/1518739200/1518825600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101113030#!/compare/1518652800/1518825600
Sold for 144 keys
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Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059244854#!/compare/1517788800/1518048000
Sold for a Haunted Ghosts Rotation(128) + 8 keys = 136
Rotation mini:
https://gyazo.com/029c6068cc8e266b152745e5af1f2d58 ~128 b/o
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059244854#!/compare/1518998400/1519171200
Sold for a Tesla Coil Gibus(135) = capping at 128 b/o
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Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1516752000/1516838400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059244854#!/compare/1516320000/1516838400
Sold for a C.Heart Flash of Inspiration, use there? No other sales on it.
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Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198288100284#!/compare/1516579200/1516752000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066195760#!/compare/1516665600/1516752000
Sold for a Tiger Pool Party + Presidents Backbiter's Billycock(10.5), seems low, the Pool Party has multiple sellers around the 30 area.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Sales at 136 and 144
No sellers with a b/o
= 136-144
Let it banana
Gibus in your Rotation mini has a year old price and multiple sellers below 135. How can you be confident that caps at 128? Needs to have its value proven if that's the sale you want to use for the Rotation mini.
The sellers were not there when I made this suggestion.
Would this be fine then:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29525818 127 b/o
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1516320000/1516406400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061419424#!/compare/1516406400/1516492800
Sold for a Harvest Moon Rimmed Raincatcher(77.5) + Smoking Coldsnap(42.5) + Bubbling Phantom(15.5) = caps at 127
?
Raincatcher and Coldsnap are also outdated, so that has the same problem.
The issue with both minis is that the other hats involved in them are outdated, so they can't really support the value you're claiming they do without further proof. I only mentioned the Gibus sellers in order to further demonstrate why using minis with outdated hats is a problem in the first place - even if they weren't there, the mini wouldn't be adequate because a year old price for the Gibus can't give us a reliable current valuation of the Rotation.
Ah alright.
Coldsnap mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155841401#!/compare/1511827200/1511913600
Sold for a GE Airdog(33.5) = rounds to 34
Raincatcher mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1513468800/1513555200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061419424#!/compare/1513468800/1513555200
Sold for a Burning Letch's Led(60) + 13 keys = 73
--
Led mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061419424#!/compare/1512864000/1512950400
Sold for 60 keys
--
So the sale is 73 + 34 + 15.5 = rounds to 123
edit: so resuggest at 131-144?
Well, multiple sales in the mini chain in the 3-4 month range doesn't inspire my confidence, although I realize you don't have other sales to work with on those hats.
More importantly in this case though, I just think that mini is high.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037237481#!/compare/1514332800/1516579200 - 90 pure
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:fLX_3VMqjNYJ:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29307658+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us - Was at that price for 3 weeks minimum before selling (Cache is from 1/2, keys last seen in buyer's backpack on 1/22)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1513728000/1513814400 - Sold w/ ~4k sweets for DBD Chullo, ~106 overall
So if you took 90-123, you'd get an average of 106.5. I'm not fond of the multiple slightly outdated sales in the high end, but I do think there is enough reason to believe it is legitimately higher than the other sales. One possible solution would be to take just the middle sale, which would give you basically the same number, 106. I guess realistically it doesn't matter for that very reason. You could round the Lid sale to 115 either way.