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I like Metal
Hopefully a refined suggestion
I updated Keys recently at 32.5 refined (32.5 comes from the mid-point of 32.33 - 32.66) https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a9ae84644325a278a0962d9
Recent Mp.tf sales for Keys (Since Keys were updated) - https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
$1.77 - 1$1.85 - 28
$1.86 - 42
$1.87 - 113
$1.88 - 44
$1.89 - 17
$1.90 - 1232
$1.91 - 200
$1.92 - 160
$1.93 - 164
$1.94 - 166
$1.95 - 1084
$1.96 - 2211
$1.97 - 6091
$1.98 - 7852
$1.99 - 1812
$2.00 - 225Calling lower sales too low as only a handful sold for those prices
Also excluding $2 to make the range even and again only a small amount sold
Now I'm going to take off 10% for mp.tf taxes as people pay for the security the site has and we get the following
$1.90 - 1232 --> ($1.71)
$1.91 - 200 --> ($1.719)
$1.92 - 160 --> ($1.728)
$1.93 - 164 --> ($1.737)
$1.94 - 166 --> ($1.746)
$1.95 - 1084 --> ($1.755)
$1.96 - 2211 --> ($1.764)
$1.97 - 6091 --> ($1.773)
$1.98 - 7852 --> ($1.782)
$1.99 - 1812 --> ($1.791)
Now we look for Paypal traders who Buy/Sell Keys
$1.70 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26078623 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197987815569 (Bought 0)
$1.75 - https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66141-buying-keys-for-175-via-paypalbuying-unusuals-read-desc/ - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102964652 (Bought 10)
$1.77 - https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66108-buying-keys-177/ - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032763715 (Bought 100)
$1.80 - https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66135-buying-tf2-keys-for-18-paypal/ - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047978230 (Bought 47)
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/66096-selling-keys-18/ - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198168863803 (Sold 10)
$1.83 - https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/58098-selling-tf2-keys-183-each-paypalwmbtc/ - https://backpack.tf/u/76561197999121454 (Hasn't sold any since Keys updated)
$1.89 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26078623 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197987815569 (Sold 6)
$1.90 - https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/65875-keys-for-190-usd-paypal/ - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136469690 (Sold 4)
Excluding these as not many were purchased/sold compared to Mp.tf, the Max was 100 sold at $1.77 which fits the range of Mp.tf sales anyway
Now we divide these prices by Key price (32.5) and we get; (took to 3 decimal places)
$1.71 / 32.5 = 0.053
$1.719 / 32.5 = 0.053
$1.728 / 32.5 = 0.053
$1.737 / 32.5 = 0.053
$1.746 / 32.5 = 0.054
$1.755 / 32.5 = 0.054
$1.764 / 32.5 = 0.054
$1.773 / 32.5 = 0.055
$1.782 / 32.5 = 0.055
$1.791 / 32.5 = 0.055
0.055 round to 0.06 and 0.053 rounds to 0.05 hence the range of 0.05 - 0.06
Thanks =)
Wasnt ref supposed to raise? Lol
You can't just divide the price, this is not how it works. Even mods said that in some previous suggestions.
I followed the exact same steps as https://backpack.tf/suggestion/596e57b8cf6c7513573effae
I don't understand your downvotes. Teeny literally just posted below that this is how you price keys.
Yeah, I don't understand either. It just happens with currency suggestions because people don't want that change and downvote no matter what.
Extra Paypal Trades
Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29210913 - Selling ref for $0.08 https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198095808451 - None sold recently (Trade was listed 9 Months ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12419098 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197961080670 - None sold recently, selling ref for $0.10, Keys for $2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28665529 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198053252981 - None sold, Selling ref for $0.07 and Keys at $1.84
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29582648 - Not paypal
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29579787 - Selling for $0.07 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198244095642 - None sold
Buying:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28305518 - Buying ref @ $0.04 (None bought) and keys @ $1.70 (none bought)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18303623 - Buying ref @ $0.05 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198017240804 (No ref bought) - Bought Keys recently but no idea on price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25674193 - Buying ref @ $0.06 - (None bought) - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198032131059 - Bought 200 Keys at $1.77 each
This supports my range.
$1.77 per key / 32.5 ref = 0.0544.. which also fits range
I meant paypal sales for keys, not refined.
That's all I could find on outpost. I tried both buying and selling both ref and keys for 'Real World Money' and they're the only ones that came up.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/273348584 ?
Thanks, that's a much better OP search, not sure what I was doing?
Extra Extra Paypal trades
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25063039 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198000730178 + https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198132182386 - Sold X Recently (They've done previous trades though so I'm not sure how valid that trust is)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28842780 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198176125115 - None Sold Recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28121958 - Selling Keys for $1.82 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198081172172 - 48 Bought 2 Weeks ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28665529 - Selling Keys for $1.84 and Ref for $0.07 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198053252981 - Sold 80 Keys 3 Weeks ago (A little old here, keys have increased slightly more recently than that also)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12419098 - Selling Keys for $2.00 and Ref for $0.10 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197961080670 - None Recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29385618 - Selling Keys for $2.10 (Converted) - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198112279227 - Bought 32 Recently ish, a lot of Cheaper keys elsewhere though, excluding (Perhaps conversion rate is off)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27006332 - Selling Keys for $1.75 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198073553007 - Sold 150 Keys recently (<1 Day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28771282 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198009458322 - None recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27424739 - Selling Keys for $1.80 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198065405581 - Bought 20 Keys recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28762331 - Selling Keys for $1.80 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197961279983 - Sold 76 Keys recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29520309 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198101970268 - None sold recently, Not paypal either
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28744445 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198033545788 - None recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27467727 - Selling Keys for $1.87 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198049171595 - Bought ~227 Keys recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25309943 - Selling Keys for $2.00 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197961186188 - None
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29554087 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198198564130 - Sold 25 Keys 2 Weeks ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29520309 - Not paypal
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29529635 - Not paypal
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29556361 - Not English
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29577330 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198076658566 - No rep
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29430791 - Selling Keys @ $1.83 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197999121454 - Sold 9 Keys ~2 Week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18031633 - Not Paypal
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29564699 - Selling Keys for ~$2.36 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198081943134 - None
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29573533 - Selling Keys for $1.97 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198061159962 - Has a neg rep
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29559181 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198136469690 - Sold ~67 Keys recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26078623 - Selling Keys for $1.89 / Buying for $1.70 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561197987815569 - Sold ~106 TF2 Keys recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29584569 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198385005458 - None
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29184557 - Selling Keys for $1.95 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198068843057 - None Recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29473560 - Selling Keys for $1.90 - https://backpack.tf/trust/76561198065983951 - None Recently
Tl:Dr
Sales at:
$1.82
$1.84
$1.75
$1.80
$1.87
$1.90
$1.83
$1.90
Lowest Paypal sale is $1.75 and Highest is $1.90
$1.75 / 32.5 = $0.053 (Rounds to $0.05)
$1.90 / 32.5 = $0.058 (Rounds to $0.06)
This supports the current range.
For ref prices to drop even more the value of a key need to go up way more to even out the value of a key being sold from the mannco store.
Prices aren't based off the mann. co store.
Proof seems genuine but I think you missed out another source which is community market, think you could calculate without taxes?
Last suggestion didn't use SCM as a proof source and the guide doesn't say anything either. I will ask mods though as it's a fair point.
You can’t sell metal on the Steam Community Market, and, as far as I know, you can’t use key sales to price Refined Metal.Also, Valve’s SCM fees are included, not excluded.
Key sales is the only way to price refined metal, please read before commenting: https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/61165-refined-suggestions-and-site-usd-values/
Oh, sorry. I didn’t know about that thread. I’ve read it now.