Price Suggestion
~164.5 keys
WW
Decorated Weapon Rocket Launcher Cool Sand Cannon
52 votes up
7 votes down
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This suggestion was accepted by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Full credits to Beaser and K1ng!


Sale #1

"2 years outdated, lets gib gud price

Slumber Lucky Shot (51) + Slumber Executioner (40) + Peace Metal Scrap (39) + Logo Swag (22) + ~8 keys in sweets

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1518998400/1519084800

51 + 40 + 39 + 22 + 8 = 160


Modest Scrap Mini -

Sellers at 35 and 42 - https://imgur.com/0pAOQEB

Added 16 for a Burning Oiled (59)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069813252#!/compare/1517443200/1517529600

59 - 16 = 43

QS

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1515888000/1516060800

QS

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000

Median of 35 and 43 is 39, taking 39 on the modest"


Sale #2

Can be used on Pullover:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1518825600/1518912000


Sale #3

169 keys pure:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1517702400/1517875200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042297359#!/compare/1517788800/1517875200


Taking 160 - 169.

    I'm going to have to agree with what †VC† bep pointed out in the last suggestion, that the items added were all spelled and worth more than 8 keys total. Now, I wouldn't just throw that out there if there wasn't data to back it up! :)


    What Omni sold the spelled items for after the RL trade:

    Phlogistinator = (at least) 4.5 keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357301658#!/compare/1519430400/1519603200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1519516800/1519603200

    (I say at least because the Lady Killer is spelled)


    Bruiser's Bandanna = (can't tell, items don't line up, ask Omni)

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1519948800/1520035200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097292857#!/compare/1519948800/1520035200


    Pyromancer's Mask = 5 Keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198410830283#!/compare/1520467200/1520640000

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1520553600/1520640000

    (buyer's bp doesn't load often and Omni traded a bunch that day, 5 keys match out of buyer's BP)


    Crone's Dome = (can't tell, items don't line up, ask Omni)

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1520640000/1520726400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278681328#!/compare/1520640000/1520726400


    Thermal Tracker = 5 Keys

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969935601#!/compare/1519948800/1520035200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800

    (5 keys match out of buyer's BP)


    Brotherhood of Arms = 2.4 Keys in items (not including that all the items were spelled)

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248839716#!/compare/1520380800/1520467200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285293881#!/compare/1520380800/1520467200


    That totals ~17 keys, NOT including the two items I can't track AND not including further item spelled value involved with the trades (above is all bp.tf value).


    Now, if the fact that these spelled add-ons (sweets) were part of the deal for the RL, than their worth should be including in the trade and the suggestion.

      In the suggestion for pullover sure, but not for this

        I mean its hood proof, feel free to update the pullover suggestion

          It's definitely fair to take these into account - on the other hand, the slumber lucky is probably high at current. Not too long ago, the market there was flooded with sellers at and well below 45 . I'll have a look; perhaps this does not need to be resuggested since I think these things will counteract each other within a reasonable margin of error (i.e the items will be ~10 keys higher and the lucky ~10 keys lower, by estimated approximation)

          So, slumber lucky sales:


          No idea

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1520726400/1520812800


          32 to a buyer

          https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043936328#!/compare/1520208000/1520380800


          Sellers at 36 since, and 42/45 as next-lowest unsolds

          https://imgur.com/a/Qoh2N


          So all in all the sweets may be 10-15 keys higher - the lucky is going to be 10-15 keys lower, which balances out. As such, this will do especially since that other sale is close enough here