clean ones can easily be bought for 2 ref or less even after the ~4 weeks since the previous suggestion, which was way too high imho

one buyer at 2.11, rest are 1.66-1.22

two sellers at 2, one selling a violet for 2.33 and one clean for 2.33, rest are much higher(up to 3 ref) or painted(mint for 4 ref, TS for 9 ref)

http://bazaar.tf/trade/1593298 unsold 3 weeks at 2.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046130544#!/compare/1521158400/1521244800 bought a violet one for 1.66 ref, clean for 1.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046130544#!/compare/1520035200/1520121600 bought 2 clean for 2 ref each (the 43 were from a lot, most are painted so im not sure how to count it)

the rest of my clean alien swarms bought from march 3-12 were off marketplace for the following prices, which, given the then-current $0.07 price of ref + a little extra for using marketplace, ranges from over 2 ref to roughly 1.66 ref

2x $0.13 5x $0.14 3x $0.15 2x $0.18

the average median price for any alien swarm on mp.tf from march 1st until the 18th is 15.4 cents, with one outlier sale of 0.30.

as of right this instant, the classifieds are drastically different to how they were a couple weeks ago - all that's left of the buyers is one at at 1.22 and 1.11 respectively with some for sale from 2 ref all the way down to 1.22 https://gyazo.com/a32114adc59379a7305211f5e3b0e6bd