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Orbiting Planets Bonk Boy
New price: 36-45 keys
[proof below]
SALE #1 = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148495750#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400
Bulk.
SALE #2 = 45 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/451;5;u32;strange
Sold for $85 ( / $1,90 ) = 45 keys.
SALE #3 = 36 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1521590400/1521676800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1521417600/1521676800
https://gyazo.com/c6d884abc99b9eb533a58b1070cfe214
Sold for 36 keys.
SALE #4 = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026427504#!/compare/1520553600/1520640000
Bulk.
SALE #5 = invalid
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082440463#!/compare/1521763200/1521936000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061440669#!/compare/1521676800/1521763200
Not too sure.
SUMMARY
Sales: 36 / 45 keys
Sellers: -
Don’t really see a clear indication here that the marketplace.tf sale is too high. Going with 36-45 keys.
This 35 key seller here seems to have sold it for 32 keys but it's better to contact him and ask.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29604527
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148495750#!/compare/1522454400/1522540800
In addition, his item history went off the grid so you may have missed some sales. Better to start looking into these and come up with a new range then. I can say that 45 will definitely be high now though.
https://backpack.tf/item/616539061
Didn't sell for 32 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209195433#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400
This is the compare link on the other side of the keys. It was actually the Flaming Lantern AA that got sold for 32 keys.
Regardless, I've already checked the item history you linked and there was the bot sale at 36 keys (sale 3). So I still don't see a valid reason to exclude 45 keys.
Ah, well in that case I guess we'll have to wait.
Other sales: Sold for 46 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961309499#!/compare/1524787200/1524873600
https://imgur.com/a/TXonnMo ----- relisted at 40
Time Warp Teutonic (44.5)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061440669#!/compare/1523664000/1523750400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068064085#!/compare/1523577600/1523750400
Sold to a buy order?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068064085#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317418604#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317418604#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110827768#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
Quicksold to a bot and relisted at 36 (screenshot above)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110827768#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198830125323#!/compare/1525046400/1525132800
No idea
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192602363#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600
45 is most likely going to be high in the long term, but we can't ignore three sales around that. Accepting as close enough.