Sale 1:

Sold with ~1 key in items for Logo Tippler’s Tricorne (Suggestion at 11.5)

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144099154#!/compare/1521331200/1521417600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274389311#!/compare/1521072000/1521417600

X = 10

Sale 2:

Sold for Orbiting Planets Nanobalaclava (Suggestion at 9.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29583832 - B/O of 10

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382084654#!/compare/1521072000/1521158400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144099154#!/compare/1521072000/1521158400

X = 9.5

Sale 3:

Sold for 7 keys + 10 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310681769#!/compare/1522108800/1522713600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061489334#!/compare/1522108800/1522195200

X = 7.5

Sale 4:

Sold with ~3 keys in pure/items for Australium Ambassador (~9.25)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219020063#!/compare/1522368000/1522454400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236556882#!/compare/1522195200/1522454400

X = 6

Sale 5:

Sold for $14 on Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/1107;5;u3009

Given that there is a cash buyer at $14 currently on mp.tf, it’s probably safe to assume that it went to a quickbuyer, and therefore should be excluded.

Orbiting Planets Nanobalaclava:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ad0622b44325a02b93cab8b

Logo Tricorne:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ad06471cf6c7558286d3d7e

Sellers:

~11.95 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/5O7KKOa.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3386791415

12 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/2gW6vEA.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4460686045

15 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/r39cUsI.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4212941167

~15.2 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/JpqS7E0.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3247226098

SCM:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Flippin%27%20Awesome?filter=cyclone

https://i.imgur.com/rciZBm7.png

$21.79 (~8.86 keys)

$22.86 (~9.29 keys)

$22.86 (~9.29 keys)

$29.95 (~12.17 keys)

$29.99 (~12.19 keys)

Rest of the sellers on the SCM aren’t too important to include.

Marketplace.tf:

https://marketplace.tf/items/1107;5;u3009

$17.99 (~9.23 keys)

$30.99 (~15.89 keys)

Sales at:

6

7.5

9.5

10

I’m convinced that the buyer of the 7.5 key sale was quickbuying several taunts at some point. Also, SCM quickbuyers at $18.33, which is pretty close to 7.5 keys, and is higher than the sale’s value without rounding.

https://i.imgur.com/rciZBm7.png

Excluding 7.5, as well as 6.

Marketplace.tf and SCM sellers at ~9 keys worth.

Going with 9-10.