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ok time to get this thing updated
Im not including trades over 1-2 months old so there were three recent trades
trade 1 4/7/18
https://backpack.tf/item/6422386998
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044246562#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600
was trades for ten keys pure and one refined, so taking about 10k
trade 2 4/12/18
https://backpack.tf/item/3274519042
the hat was given to a market place bot but the trade before that was a year old and it was kind of gifted to a friend? or maybe bought with cash? but anyways can't really determine a good price for this plus it is really outdated. (excluded)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297051270#!/compare/1478649600/1478995200 - gifted hats
trade 3 3/12/18-3/13/18
https://backpack.tf/item/6422386998
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381313663#!/compare/1520640000/1520812800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053252981#!/compare/1520726400/1520812800
this was sold to scraprehensive bot of scrap.tf for 9 keys and approximately 1 ref and was repurchased by RoyalCake along with a smoking gentleman's ushanka for around 19 keys and 1 key in refines (I individually check the history of each key and ref and counted one traded to scraprehensive)
This is pretty inaccurate and seeing it is from a bot I can't really determine a good price but 9 keys is a considerable price
There were some trades that are made on the same day involving this hat as shown in the item history in trade one but the trade did not register since it was done in the same day
In the end, the new price should be ten keys since it is the only recent sell and it is made with pure and not with a bot
Sorry for the change, had to include one more trade.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097722443#!/compare/1522972800/1523059200
Bulk.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262680151#!/compare/1522972800/1523059200
Bulk (for the Burning Bot Dogger, histories match).
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109756155#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600
Other side of the compare link for the 10 key sale.
This will probably be fine, upvote.
Sale 1 happened in less than a day, so it quicksold. Other sale was on SCM:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097722443#!/compare/1522022400/1522195200
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Tyrantium%20Helmet ----- sold for either $41.89 (~17 keys) or $34.65 (~14 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097722443?time=1522800000 ----- became tradable between the 1st and the 4th (history gap, so no way to tell exactly)
That sale, even if not totally traceable, will be higher than 10. I would leave this outdated and wait for more sales.
Can't really seem to trace this sale through tf2tool either by the looks of it, 10 flat could've worked if it would remain unsold and/or more sales happened at 10 but obviously gets countered by the scm sale.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30014;5;u12
There's one on marketplace for $32, so it might be worth keeping an eye on that one
Thanks for the suggestion, but based on the comments above, the suggested flat value will be on the low side.
This will need more sales before it can be repriced.