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Requested by a current owner of the hat, Bob.
Sale #1 - Sold for Cloud 9 Law (outdated) and 26 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059926468#!/compare/1523836800/1524096000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1523923200/1524009600
Law Minis -
#1 - 1:1 for GE Dapper (indate)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064958639#!/compare/1523404800/1523491200
Valued @ 97.5k
#2 - Sold for Puzzle to Me Hellmet (oudated), Miami Nights Cotton Head (outdated), and Isotope Specialized Killstreak Dovetailed Sniper Rifle (Well-Worn)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1516924800/1517875200
Hellmet micro – Sold for 27 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800
Since sellers @ 25 and 26, gonna accept this micro and value @ 27k for calculations
Cotton micro – Sold for Circling Heart Gauze (indate, 50k) + 3.5k in items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600
50 + 3.5 = 53.5, therefore valued @ 53.5k
Sniper rifle micro – Sold 1:1 for Stormy storm tossle (indate 21.5k)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1522627200/1522713600
Valued @ 21.5k
21.5 + 27 + 53.5 = 102k
Valued @ 102k
****************************
Law minis value it at 97.5 and 102, but many of the laws were listed @ 85 and have not sold for months
https://imgur.com/FFAjDyU
(https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Law&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=58&killstreak_tier=0, https://backpack.tf/item/4839741207, https://backpack.tf/item/6409015393)
Even though the mean avg for the Law minis is ~100k, I’m going to take the average between this value and 85k to get 92.5k
Therefore, valuing it at 93k (rounded for neatness)
*******************************
FINAL CALCULATIONS:
Harmburg = 93 +26
= 119k
Therefore, sale #1 @ 119k
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Sale #2 – Quicksale of 61 pure
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200
Valued @ 61k
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Sale #3 – Sold on mp.tf for $159.99 on Jan 17/2018
https://imgur.com/pvOasc2
Keys sold on that day for ~$1.90 USD
159.99/1.90 = ~84
Valued @ 84k
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Sale #4 – Sold on mp.tf for $149.99 on April 7/2018
https://imgur.com/ElyLhTf
Keys sold on that day for $1.95 USD
149.99/1.95 = ~77
Valued @ 77k
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conclusion: Sales @ 61 (quicksale), 77, 84, and 119 keys
Since the two marketplace.tf sales were of the same item (history for proof - https://backpack.tf/item/4119514944) I’ll find the mean value of the two sales as the low end of the range, which is 81k (80.5 rounded up)
Therefore, suggesting a price range of 81 - 119 keys
With the sales as they are, I think 61 and 119 should be treated as outliers.
The 84 marketplace sale is outdated - honestly Id leave this unupdated with what we have here
Closing on account of my comment above.