Price Suggestion
Burning Flames Harmburg
Submitted by Crog?
~133.5 keys
burning
Unusual Harmburg Burning Flames
64 votes up
16 votes down
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This suggestion was closed by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Requested by a current owner of the hat, Bob.


Sale #1 - Sold for Cloud 9 Law (outdated) and 26 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059926468#!/compare/1523836800/1524096000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1523923200/1524009600


Law Minis -

#1 - 1:1 for GE Dapper (indate)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064958639#!/compare/1523404800/1523491200

Valued @ 97.5k

#2 - Sold for Puzzle to Me Hellmet (oudated), Miami Nights Cotton Head (outdated), and Isotope Specialized Killstreak Dovetailed Sniper Rifle (Well-Worn)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1516924800/1517875200

Hellmet micro – Sold for 27 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084126218#!/compare/1519862400/1519948800

Since sellers @ 25 and 26, gonna accept this micro and value @ 27k for calculations

Cotton micro – Sold for Circling Heart Gauze (indate, 50k) + 3.5k in items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1521763200/1521849600

50 + 3.5 = 53.5, therefore valued @ 53.5k

Sniper rifle micro – Sold 1:1 for Stormy storm tossle (indate 21.5k)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1522627200/1522713600

Valued @ 21.5k

21.5 + 27 + 53.5 = 102k

Valued @ 102k

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Law minis value it at 97.5 and 102, but many of the laws were listed @ 85 and have not sold for months

https://imgur.com/FFAjDyU

(https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Law&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=58&killstreak_tier=0, https://backpack.tf/item/4839741207, https://backpack.tf/item/6409015393)

Even though the mean avg for the Law minis is ~100k, I’m going to take the average between this value and 85k to get 92.5k

Therefore, valuing it at 93k (rounded for neatness)

*******************************

FINAL CALCULATIONS:

Harmburg = 93 +26

= 119k

Therefore, sale #1 @ 119k

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Sale #2 – Quicksale of 61 pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081129776#!/compare/1523836800/1523923200

Valued @ 61k

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Sale #3 – Sold on mp.tf for $159.99 on Jan 17/2018

https://imgur.com/pvOasc2

Keys sold on that day for ~$1.90 USD

159.99/1.90 = ~84

Valued @ 84k

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Sale #4 – Sold on mp.tf for $149.99 on April 7/2018

https://imgur.com/ElyLhTf

Keys sold on that day for $1.95 USD

149.99/1.95 = ~77

Valued @ 77k

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Conclusion: Sales @ 61 (quicksale), 77, 84, and 119 keys

Since the two marketplace.tf sales were of the same item (history for proof - https://backpack.tf/item/4119514944) I’ll find the mean value of the two sales as the low end of the range, which is 81k (80.5 rounded up)

Therefore, suggesting a price range of 81 - 119 keys

    With the sales as they are, I think 61 and 119 should be treated as outliers.


    The 84 marketplace sale is outdated - honestly Id leave this unupdated with what we have here

      Closing on account of my comment above.