Using last month

Sale 1:

Sold for $17 on marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/1182;5;u3010

Can’t find item’s history

17/1.95 = ~8.72

X = 8.5

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1522713600/1522800000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106267533#!/compare/1522800000/1523059200

Bot.tf confirms: https://i.imgur.com/3xt8d9s.png

X = 8

Sale 3:

Sold for ~7 keys in taunts/items

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125082062#!/compare/1524009600/1524096000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206869853#!/compare/1524009600/1524096000

The Gibus and Festive Sticky on the buyer’s end were involved. They went towards the ’72 taunt on the seller’s end.

X = 7

Sale 4:

Sold for 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1524096000/1524182400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198256783165#!/compare/1524009600/1524182400

Bot.tf confirms: https://i.imgur.com/3xt8d9s.png

X = 6

Sale 5:

Sold for 6 keys + 3 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079363927#!/compare/1524700800/1524787200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072259514#!/compare/1524700800/1524787200

X = 6

Sale 6:

Sold for 6 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1523750400/1523836800

Buyer is unknown: https://backpack.tf/item/6254503262

Bot.tf confirms: https://i.imgur.com/3xt8d9s.png

X = 6

Sellers:

~7.51 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/4spsiKi.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6793281029

~7.95 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29629808

https://i.imgur.com/lNtgZ9B.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6311449572

8 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/MPRfFd6.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6310052540

9 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/ctzE5U8.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6252780104

11 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/25rAxR2.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6253422308

30 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/BOoDYDM.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6254240489

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29525417

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29627858

Sales at:

6 (3x)

7

8

8.5

Not comfortable using 8.5, given the cheaper sellers. Excluding 8.5

https://i.imgur.com/sbbOdSV.png - A couple buyers higher than 6 keys worth on the SCM, but they are rather limited, and 6 seems to sell quite frequently, so I’ll keep it in the range.

Going with 6-8.