Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1523664000/1523750400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412292295#!/compare/1523664000/1523750400

Bot.tf: https://i.imgur.com/Yh15Jqc.png

X = 7

Sales 2 & 3:

Sold for $11.5 and $7 on Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/1114;5;u3010

There’s currently a mp.tf buy order at $7, so I’ll exclude that.

11.5/1.97 = ~5.84

X = 6

Sale 4:

Sold for 5 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302093156#!/compare/1524700800/1524873600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283343309#!/compare/1524787200/1524873600

X = 5

Sale 5:

Sold for Kill-a-Watt Hard Counter

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196459527#!/compare/1522886400/1522972800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104929314#!/compare/1522886400/1522972800

Gonna be pretty high compared to other sales. Excluding.

Sale 6:

Sold for Silver Cyclone Bad Pipes

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400887460#!/compare/1524009600/1525219200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1523923200/1524009600

Bad pipes were updated to ~6.75 recently, but there’s now a seller at 4.5, so I’ll exclude it for now.

Sellers:

~6.55 keys

https://i.imgur.com/aflVn6Y.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2828281719

~6.65 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/CphSYo0.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4435542271

~6.7 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/tZiCuem.png

https://backpack.tf/item/2805187228

https://backpack.tf/item/5280320158

https://i.imgur.com/ieQmvlT.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3551561175

8 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29603200

10 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/Qj9dvUP.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3974858346

13 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/6sHXEek.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6417897231

20 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/fADrgD1.png

https://backpack.tf/item/3789828788

https://i.imgur.com/jTQq5y7.png

https://i.imgur.com/fEQ6MAh.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6460468661

https://backpack.tf/item/5305523691

23 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/PH5d7YQ.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6633806401

Sales at:

5

6

7

Sale at 7 looks like an outlier, given the 5 that are being sold for cheaper.

Going with 5-6.

Sold mine for 6.5, will re-suggest when i'm fully awake.