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Using last month.
Sales 1 & 2:
Sold for $24.50 and $13.86 on Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/30616;5;u3010
24.5/1.97 = ~12.44
13.86/1.97 = ~7.04
X = 12
X = 7
Sale 3:
Sold for 7 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097519829#!/compare/1524441600/1524528000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198322876605#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600
X = 7
Sale 4:
Bulk for stuff
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218063977#!/compare/1524009600/1524096000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191134566#!/compare/1524096000/1524182400
Sellers:
~9.9 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/GKbqIUc.png
https://backpack.tf/item/6405729650
https://backpack.tf/item/6522080255
10 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/BQZ7i8X.png
https://backpack.tf/item/3901474408
30 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/t81zBjd.png
https://backpack.tf/item/6237574502
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29636242
Sales at:
7 (2x)
12
12 is a large outlier, given the cheaper sellers. Excluding 12.
Going with 7 flat.