Price Suggestion
~211 keys
burning
Unusual Tough Stuff Muffs Burning Flames
54 votes up
14 votes down
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Comments

Joji's new song seems alright,


Countering Loafer's


Sold 1:1 for scorching muffs-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999173629#!/compare/1525392000/1525564800 ~ 446

Rounding to 450


Better Mini (In date)-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157493895#!/compare/1525651200/1525737600 ~

Haunted Phantasm Jr Conjurer's Cowl (71) + Misty Skull Backbiter's Billycock (89) + Starstorm Slumber Hermes (35) + Disco Beat Down Runner's Warm-Up (30) + Harvest Moon Burning Bandana (62) + Starstorm Insomnia Texas Slim's Dome Shine (60) + 6 keys + Sunbeams A Rather Festive Tree (93)

= 446


Micros

Phantasm Jr Cowl-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060375373#!/compare/1525046400/1525219200 ~ 71 Keys

Sold for 7 keys + Anti Freeze Front Runner (63.5)


Mini for Runner-

https://marketplace.tf/items/760;5;u69 ~ 63.5 keys

$125/1.97 = 63.45

Rounds to 63.5


Misty Cock-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263260743#!/compare/1524614400/1524787200 ~ 89

Sold for 5 keys + a Secret Tavish Crown (84)


Micro on crown-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198236788328#!/compare/1525392000/1525564800 ~ 84

Sold for 5 pure + Cloudy Heavy's Rag (44) + Purple Cloud Pampered Pyro (35)


Pampered-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1523577600/1523664000 ~ 35


DBD Runner's-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241622178#!/compare/1524700800/1524787200 ~ 30

Sold with Scorching Guadalajara (60(Buyers support) + GE Backwards (I CANT FIND SHIT REEEEEE USING 90 KILL ME)

90-60 = 30


Harvest Bandana-

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139831684#!/compare/1525132800/1525219200 ~ 62


Other sales

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038816671#!/compare/1524355200/1524441600 ~ No

Feel free to waste your time


Starstorm Insomnia Texas Slim's Dome Shine

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310127340#!/compare/1522972800/1523059200

DP Nobel (23.5) + Miam Exe (36.5)


Exe-

https://marketplace.tf/items/921;5;u61 ~ 36.5

71.86/1.97 = 36.47 = 36.5


DP Nobel-

Cant find anything suing current


Sunbeams A Rather Festive Tree

https://marketplace.tf/items/341;5;u17 - 93

183.9/1.97 = 93.3


Finding the mini's for this suggestion was like getting a cock with spikes on it up the ass...

Loafer keep your's up see what mods think


Anyway this budget suggestion should be find

Correct my mini's please if you think they are shit <3


#DropTheMuffs

Thanks for your time

~Pigeon

    a way better mini on the scorching muff

      Wow this fucks me in the ass. Thought you couldn't make suggestions off of quick sales?

        That rule doesn't work anymore lmao

          I completely agree with you on that, bp.tf has become so stupid with its rules on suggestions, but hey I am a sheep the follows.

          Can you all cut out the drama and take it to dms? Suggestions are no place for that.


          We care about outlier sales for suggestions, so if you have evidence that this sale is an outlier please provide it.

            What constitutes a sale as an outlier?

              The best way to identify outliers is with multiple data points, for example 3 sales at 600 keys and 1 sale at 450 keys.

              The time that a sale took alone is not enough, for example it could just be luck.


              I'll copy paste from the unusual rules guide:

              "What is a quicksell?

              -Someone advertising their sale as a quicksell doesn't mean that it is one, sometimes they try to "quicksell" their hats for months without success.

              -Time is only one factor used to determine a quicksell. If a hat sells within 1-2 days for its b/o in pure, one should be suspicious. However, it could just be a lucky sale as well.

              -More important is how a sale relates to other sales. If a hat sells for less or around quickbuyer prices in pure or unusuals or for less than common trade points, that is likely a quicksell."


              Now we are lacking multiple data points, hence why I won't call this sale an outlier straight away.

                450 is an outlier if it sold for the scorching muffs which many know I was offered 500 pure and several other pure offers around that.

                  You were offered 500 pure but then the guy retracked, I remember you saying that.

                    No? The guy never retracted, I declined. It was technically retracted later as he bought another unusual later but it was never really retracted

                    "Offers

                    Offers alone are not enough to make a suggestion. This does not mean that offers are not helpful. They are very useful for defining a range and identifying outliers (see section below).

                    Fake, retracted, "collecting" offers are not valid proof. Offers are only valid if there is documented proof of the offer - either in comments (outpost) or via screenshots of chat logs. Declined trade offers are better than verbal offers in chat for proof."

                      Screenshots were there.


                      But anyway, even another mod and price suggestor I talked to said this was easily a QS and pigeon even knows thatt himself (example: The comments u warned above). But I mean if you're moderating this sugg I guess its your call.

                        Where is there?


                        And yes on controversial suggestions there is usually always more than 1 mod opinion involved before handling it.

                          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29502211


                          Yeah, we'll just see how it goes, thanks for explaining :)

                            >Over 2 months

                            I believe if he saw loafer's suggestion he would retract 500.

                              Btw this suggestion is still wrong since it ignores the other sale on the scorching muffs. Whether or not the ~450 key sale on the scorching muffs is an outlier or not is still up for debate but just letting you know that this suggestion in particular won't pass with the current evidence alone.

                                I know you are the better suggestor here but that sale is 2 months old and 3 days from 3 months old, how is it valid? This would take a month to go anywhere even if it was correct?

                                  Sales up to 3 months are perfectly fine to use when there are not many others to go by. And as I said in the other suggestion, even if this suggestion would be left up a month the sale is still valid.

                              Well that's a start, in the future just provide all proof you have towards an outlier right away.

                  The fact that this sale took 2 days? Isn't that making this an outlier sale?


                  Just asking, thanks :)

                    People buy and sell stuff within a day, I don't see how it really matters.

                    Maybe this is a price people are willing to pay? I don't know

                      Its rare to see higher tier items sell within a days time unless its for a quicksell price. I dont see people buying and selling high value items at full price within a day.

                      It's lit yo