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Time for another suggestion i guess!
NB Head Hedge this time. There is only 4 in existence right now according to bp.tf, although I have seen many more.
People are selling for low (9-10k) but not as quicksells, so the price should be somewhere in that range.
Sales:
They have been sold on the market for 9k
unstopaBULL (you probably know him) bought for 12k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1523318400/1523404800
Sale price pending with
https://backpack.tf/u/76561198113853563 and will be added in the future.
Sell listings: (Keys = 2.50usd)
9.55 keys
http://prntscr.com/jf226y
10 keys
http://prntscr.com/jf22bg
13 keys
http://prntscr.com/jf22fs
8.9 keys (steam market)
http://prntscr.com/jf22u3
9.1 keys (steam market)
http://prntscr.com/jf23d6
11.8 keys (steam market)
http://prntscr.com/jf23ft
17.1 keys massive outlier (steam market)
http://prntscr.com/jf242d
Buy orders:
Highest generic buy order 8.18 keys, no effect specific buy orders
http://prntscr.com/jf24eg
This is generally the cheapest effect, so from all these prices, i beleive that this hat should be priced at 9-11 keys
You should get actual sales to set that range. But for now your suggestion have no enough proof
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382589541#!/compare/1528149600/1528236000
https://gyazo.com/2b0e65eb74a38d036d2a2c9a93bd5503
Sold for 8.5 keys.
https://backpack.tf/item/6803656221
Went to a quickbuyer bot, shifted between owner/bot a bunch of times.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158970729#!/compare/1525996800/1526169600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353428139#!/compare/1525219200/1527724800
Untrace.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130750923#!/compare/1528156800/1528243200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315588518#!/compare/1528070400/1528156800
Went to a quickbuyer bot. Likely quickbought. Doesn't appear in bot.tf page.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305676157#!/compare/1523318400/1523404800
Appears to have sold to Bull for 9 keys, not 12 keys. The 9 keys match.
Sellers: https://gyazo.com/a94acbf105973b092c0cf57c6751766b
Would probably go with 8.5-9 keys here.
Actually bull just mentioned he did pay 12. Going to wait on a screenshot now since that would help to clear things up.
Feel free to take this if you like.
You have no valid evidence for your suggested range. No evidence for 11, and the screenshot of the SCM seller at ~9 doesn't show the effect. Take a look at this for future reference:
https://forums.backpack.tf/topic/6033-rules-for-unusual-price-suggestions/